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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +16 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13d | notover555 | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,053 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | qqmupup | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,844 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,570 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 13d | PmDerek2 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,154 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | averagerandomman | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 13d | venezuelain | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,063 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | Doomster | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,366 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,604 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 13d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | SkyLove7 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | PmDerek | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,235 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 13d | baba14432 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,630 | +$86 +1.3% | 2 |
| 13d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,369 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 13d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,915 | +$68 +1.7% | 2 |
| 13d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$36 +0.9% | 2 |
| 13d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,194 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 13d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 13d | easypredict | 82,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | +$47 +4.2% | 2 |
| 13d | Candela2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,927 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | YautjaPM2 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,983 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | Glennraven | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,592 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 13d | Elastic-Mime | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$20 +1.8% | 2 |
| 13d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 82,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$79 +7.5% | 2 |
| 13d | Doomster | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,375 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 13d | Doomster | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,253 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 13d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $15,196 | −$15 −0.1% | — | |
| 13d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 13d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,984 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 14d | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 14d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,256 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 14d | kolassadamarist | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 14d | PmDerek | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | baba14432 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,023 | +$56 +0.3% | 2 |
| 14d | yiqiz | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,100 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | averagerandomman | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | +$38 +3.6% | 2 |
| 14d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 14d | KFai | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,148 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | suntori2 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,632 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 14d | suntori2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,639 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,538 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 14d | PmDerek2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,608 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,208 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | shabbysalta | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,365 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | chet010 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$17 +1.3% | 2 |
| 14d | chet010 | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,877 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 14d | PmDerek | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | PmDerek | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,923 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,627 | +$41 +2.5% | 2 |
| 14d | chet010 | 86,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | −$48 −3.0% | — |
| 14d | Pellepele | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$38 +3.5% | 2 |
| 14d | TangS4189 | 88,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 14d | TangS4189 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,708 | +$30 +1.1% | 2 |
| 14d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 15d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,702 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 15d | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,641 | +$63 +3.8% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.