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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 100% | +7 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −9 pts | −65 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | 0x2b8a…6429 | 84,000 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,931 | −$350 −18% | — |
| 12d | 8fg | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$33 +2.0% | 2 |
| 12d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,490 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 12d | PmDerek | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,121 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,444 | +$27 +0.6% | 2 |
| 12d | baba14433 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,379 | +$62 +1.4% | 2 |
| 12d | PmDerek | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 12d |  Tttyh | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,437 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Tttyh | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,549 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,946 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | PmDerek | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | PmDerek | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,828 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | Gregarious-Distribution | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,959 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 12d |  CHINANO1 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,990 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | Doomster | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,805 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | gumigu001 | 82,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,146 | +$76 +3.5% | 2 |
| 12d | frankzhao | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,775 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 12d |  soylentgoy | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 12d |  walnascar | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,501 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 12d | Tttyh3 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,138 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 12d | Tttyh | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,707 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | rainesglendora42 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,247 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 12d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,040 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 12d | Navigator77 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 12d | Elastic-Mime | 82,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$44 +3.8% | 2 |
| 12d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | 82,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$58 −5.4% | — |
| 12d | PmDerek3 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,943 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 12d |  jakebet | 80,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,361 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 13d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$71 +5.3% | 2 |
| 13d | Tttyh | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d | PmDerek | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,863 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 13d |  Facaie2 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | 0xDB5 | 84,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$99 +7.5% | 2 |
| 14d | madutu2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,859 | +$611 +21% | 2 |
| 14d | yiba2 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,867 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d |  hentaivirus | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,017 | +$19 +1.8% | 2 |
| 14d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$68 +5.6% | 2 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | +$61 +4.6% | 2 |
ChadLiteplus19,542 shares
MorfeyCoin2,981 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.