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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −46 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,602 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,603 | +$340 +2.2% | 2 | |
| 11d | TangS41892 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,255 | +$205 +4.8% | 2 |
| 11d | ssddssd2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $19,500 | +$500 +2.6% | 2 |
| 11d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $16,317 | −$16 −0.1% | — | |
| 11d | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$38 +2.6% | 2 | |
| 11d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,557 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 11d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | −$40 −3.1% | — |
| 11d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,523 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | 0xa081…ba25 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,652 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 11d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 11d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,080 | +$159 +5.2% | 2 |
| 11d | PmDerek | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,191 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | YoungAndFree | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,688 | +$386 +10% | 3 |
| 11d | 82,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,467 | −$122 −8.3% | — | |
| 11d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 11d | TangS41892 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,942 | +$113 +1.9% | 2 |
| 11d | Noteagle | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | +$20 +1.1% | 2 |
| 11d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,153 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | 0xa081…ba25 | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$57 +3.5% | 2 |
| 11d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,698 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 84,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,467 | −$210 −4.7% | — |
| 11d | wh0511 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,046 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | wyh. | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 11d | H.xs | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,067 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | lee886 | 84,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$125 +6.3% | 2 |
| 11d | 80,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | −$20 −1.1% | — | |
| 11d | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,003 | +$94 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 11d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,654 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 11d | Candela3 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,964 | +$36 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | YautjaPM2 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,984 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,090 | +$1,327 +32% | 4 |
| 11d | Glennraven | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,578 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 11d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 84,000 | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $1,943 | +$2,685 +138% | 5 |
| 11d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 11d | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,100 | +$33 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 11d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | PmDerek2 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | TOWERCAPITAL | 84,000 | SellYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,033 | +$1,033 +100% | — |
| 11d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,568 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 11d | 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,835 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 11d | 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,854 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 11d | chet010 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 11d | suntori5 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,717 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | suntori3 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,664 | −$28 −0.2% | — |
| 11d | Gregarious-Distribution | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,961 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,992 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 12d | rainesglendora42 | 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,249 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 12d | wmart.pty | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 12d | 86,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | +$102 +4.5% | 2 | |
| 12d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 12d | yiba2 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,877 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | TangS4189 | 88,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 12d | PmDerek2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,204 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.