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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 100% | +21 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −15 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,937 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d |  upont2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,451 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$200 +11% | 3 |
| 10d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,236 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 10d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,144 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | YautjaPM2 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,557 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | SkyLove7 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,992 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | Glennraven | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing4 fills | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,793 | −$27 −0.2% | — |
| 10d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing4 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,822 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | Navigator772 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,260 | +$120 +1.9% | 2 |
| 10d |  ZeinST | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,763 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d | polspols | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,905 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,229 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | PmDerek | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,330 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | fhgf76rtruhgkhj | 82,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,748 | −$252 −6.7% | — |
| 10d | Navigator77 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 10d | Vort3xhz | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 10d | detoxification | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d | WanTonMee | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,769 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d | averagerandomman | 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$20 +1.8% | 2 |
| 10d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,638 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 10d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $7,960 | +$40 +0.5% | 2 |
| 10d | poweragain | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,942 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | poweragain | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,668 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d |  Facaie3 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,294 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d |  Tttyh2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,673 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | Tttyh | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,715 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | UPbet | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | Baristas | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,487 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d |  walnascar | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $12,138 | +$1,578 +13% | 3 |
| 10d | Facaie | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | Nothfail | 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$27 +2.5% | 2 |
| 11d | easypredict3 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $19,456 | +$5,087 +26% | 3 |
| 11d | PmDerek | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,740 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | PmDerek | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,635 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  leowei2025 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 11d | rainesglendora42 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,255 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 11d | YoungAndFree | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$14 +0.9% | 2 |
| 11d | UPbet | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d |  MOCAVERSE | 80,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | −$146 −9.4% | — |
| 11d |  GoodLuck68886 | 80,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$74 −6.8% | — |
| 11d | Tttyh | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,069 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | nicoco | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,090 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | −$258 −19% | — |
| 11d | TraceView | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,043 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d |  jakebet | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,489 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | PmDerek | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,402 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 11d | Rust701 | 82,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$259 +26% | 3 |
| 11d |  FXC | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,728 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | dajsijnnd | 84,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 3 |
| 11d | PmDerek | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,167 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | nearping | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 82,000 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $4,210 | −$4,210 −100% | 8 |
| 11d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,674 | +$198 +7.4% | 2 |
| 11d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,137 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 11d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,139 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 11d | suntori3 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,110 | −$20 −0.3% | — |
| 11d | suntori3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,380 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.