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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −87 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −35 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,194 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,705 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 9d |  Tttyh | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,972 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d |  ZeinST | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,218 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | poweragain | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,191 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | Nothfail2 fills | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,455 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | Candela | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,975 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | madutu | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,852 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | baba14432 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,959 | +$98 +1.6% | 2 |
| 9d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,179 | +$54 +2.5% | 2 |
| 9d | YautjaPM22 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,198 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9d | Glennraven | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | SkyLove7 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,660 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,702 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | PmDerek | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,255 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,474 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 9d |  gangwarharshit | 80,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,756 | +$66 +3.7% | 2 |
| 9d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,049 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9d | Navigator772 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$27 +0.6% | 2 |
| 9d | ZeinST | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,991 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 9d | Navigator77 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 9d | detoxification | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | +$17 +0.6% | 2 |
| 9d | ZeinST | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,305 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9d | averagerandomman22 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,432 | +$56 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9d |  TCBY6688 | 88,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,215 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 9d | chet010 | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,533 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 9d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing5 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,317 | +$108 +1.3% | 2 |
| 9d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,621 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 9d | polspols | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | detoxification | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,291 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9d | dajsijnnd | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,761 | +$54 +3.1% | 2 |
| 9d | Nothfail | 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,012 | +$43 +2.2% | 2 |
| 9d |  walnascar | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 9d |  leowei2025 | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$28 +2.8% | 2 |
| 9d |  erichsu | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,082 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 9d | Tttyh2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,196 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | rainesglendora42 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,260 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 10d | YoungAndFree | 78,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,685 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 10d | UPbet | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,797 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 10d | frankzhao | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 10d | notover555 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$12 +0.7% | 2 |
| 10d |  FXC2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,520 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d |  jakebet | 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,218 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 10d | KFai | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,847 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 10d | PmDerek | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d | PmDerek | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,549 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | Chepaik | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,301 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | Hateful-Sickness | 84,000 | SellYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,233 | +$1,233 +100% | — |
| 11d | Hateful-Sickness | 84,000 | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,191 | −$1,191 −100% | 4 |
| 12d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 88,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$75 +7.1% | 2 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 76,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$83 +5.6% | 2 |
| 15d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,884 | +$56 +1.9% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.