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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +57 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,087 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 8d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,161 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 8d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,120 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 8d | 82,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$53 +3.5% | 2 | |
| 8d | Sylar012 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,490 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $6,675 | +$2,554 +38% | 4 |
| 8d | easypredict | 82,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,914 | +$213 +11% | 3 |
| 8d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 8d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,742 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 8d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,156 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,739 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 8d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 8d | MU247 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,845 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 8d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,446 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 8d | 1881aa | 80,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,171 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 8d | TangS41892 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,896 | +$86 +3.0% | 2 |
| 8d | Fogoton | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,171 | +$85 +2.0% | 2 |
| 8d | WanTonMee | 84,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 8d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 8d | mingxyz | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,240 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 8d | Tokor | 80,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$96 +7.5% | 3 |
| 8d | averagerandomman | 80,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$79 +7.5% | 3 |
| 8d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | +$301 +9.9% | 3 |
| 8d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 8d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 8d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,710 | −$57 −1.5% | — |
| 8d | PmDerek2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,845 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | Candela | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | YautjaPM23 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,512 | +$28 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | TangS41892 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,948 | +$52 +1.3% | 2 |
| 8d | Navigator773 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,478 | +$113 +1.7% | 2 |
| 8d | Glennraven | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,591 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 8d | WanTonMee | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,336 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,209 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 8d | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,130 | +$64 +1.6% | 2 | |
| 8d | Kuihji | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 8d | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,639 | +$141 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 8d | easypredict | 82,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 0¢ | $6,461 | −$6,461 −100% | 3 |
| 8d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,053 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 8d | Rust701 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$17 +1.7% | 2 |
| 8d | lyoo1210 | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,772 | +$40 +2.2% | 2 |
| 8d | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,121 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 8d | detoxification2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | Naoka | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$32 +1.4% | 2 |
| 8d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,252 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 8d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,500 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 8d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,291 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,700 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 8d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,858 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 8d | detoxification | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | detoxification | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,395 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 8d | Nothfail | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,138 | +$50 +2.4% | 2 |
| 9d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 9d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,582 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 9d | konsomida | 80,000 | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,555 | −$1,555 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | lingke | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.