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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −18 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | notover555 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,571 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,355 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 5d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,369 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,414 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,111 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 5d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,843 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 82,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | +$167 +11% | 3 |
| 5d | frankzhao | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,413 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 5d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,262 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 5d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,510 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | PmDerek | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,546 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,560 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 5d | TangS41893 fills | 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,322 | −$22 −0.6% | — |
| 5d | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,230 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 5d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,710 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 5d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,047 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | wh0511 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,497 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 5d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 5d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 5d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,365 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 5d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,400 | +$19 +0.4% | 2 |
| 5d | PmDerek | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,224 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 6d | laishuoxin | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,266 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 6d | madutu | 82,000 | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | −$836 −63% | — |
| 6d | YoungAndFree | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,004 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | madutu | 82,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,856 | +$310 +17% | 3 |
| 6d | madutu | 80,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | −$50 −4.9% | — |
| 6d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,703 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 6d | PmDerek | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,357 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | PmDerek | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,252 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 6d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 6d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 6d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,458 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 7d | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | +$90 +1.8% | 2 | |
| 7d | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 7d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,162 | +$126 +5.8% | 2 |
| 11d | Pellepele | 90,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$48 +4.5% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.