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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 100% | +21 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −28 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,563 | +$125 +1.9% | 2 | |
| 5d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,118 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $3,894 | +$1,562 +40% | 4 |
| 5d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,027 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | saftytrader | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,950 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,517 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 5d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 5d | qqmupup | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,658 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,969 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 5d | Medical-Collagen3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,489 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 5d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,031 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 5d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,739 | +$23 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 5d | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,382 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 5d | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,982 | +$18 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 5d | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,257 | +$30 +1.3% | 2 | |
| 5d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,936 | +$64 +1.6% | 2 |
| 5d | Candela | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | YautjaPM2 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | detoxification2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | saftytrader | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,260 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 5d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,447 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 5d | SkyLove7 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,235 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 5d | Navigator77 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | detoxification2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,774 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,692 | +$20 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 5d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$27 +0.5% | 2 |
| 5d | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 5d | 0xDB5 | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | +$61 +3.2% | 2 |
| 5d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,245 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,574 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 5d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 5d | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,459 | +$180 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 5d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,179 | +$57 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 5d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,988 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | poweragain | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 5d | Xgs | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,719 | +$55 +2.0% | 2 |
| 5d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,304 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 5d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,803 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 5d | VotaVOX | 82,000 | SellNo37¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | −$3,223 −170% | — |
| 5d | Rust701 | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$24 +2.4% | 2 |
| 5d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,225 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 5d | 0xDB5 | 80,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$32 −3.0% | — |
| 5d | nearping | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$23 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 5d | wh0511 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,068 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,053 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | H.xs | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,081 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | wyh. | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,045 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | Vipine | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$13 +1.3% | 2 |
| 5d | easypredict | 82,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $1,647 | −$1,647 −100% | 3 |
| 5d | suntori5 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $21,714 | −$107 −0.5% | — |
| 5d | suntori4 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,948 | +$66 +0.3% | 2 |
| 5d | suntori | 82,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,869 | −$1,869 −100% | 3 |
| 5d | Noxious-Reach | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 5d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing4 fills | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,872 | −$58 −0.7% | — |
| 5d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing4 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,881 | +$49 +0.5% | 2 |
| 5d | Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 5d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,380 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 5d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,970 | +$30 +0.3% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.