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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +62 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 0% | −11 pts | −69 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 124,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +30 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +10 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 367d | Thin-Print | 114,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,348 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 367d | Thin-Print | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,791 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 367d | Thin-Print | 106,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 367d | Thin-Print | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,550 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 367d | Thin-Print | 112,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 367d | lsf001 | 110,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,015 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 367d | 112,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,770 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 367d | nohedge | 112,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,096 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 367d | 35f6 | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | JSL23 | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,153 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 367d | lsf001 | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,014 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 367d | choohkz233 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $10,303 | +$212 +2.1% | 2 |
| 367d | jorno | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 367d | AZwater | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,970 | +$30 +0.6% | 2 |
| 367d | AZwater | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,217 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 367d | choohkz232 fills | 112,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,638 | +$245 +3.2% | 2 |
| 367d | nohedge | 112,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,998 | +$103 +2.1% | 2 |
| 367d | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,310 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 367d | rwo | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | jibamaooo | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,087 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | bffd | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$14 +1.1% | 2 |
| 367d | easypredict7 fills | 112,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $13,469 | +$1,885 +14% | 2 |
| 367d | chenzhongyi33917893 fills | 114,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,370 | +$138 +1.0% | 2 |
| 367d | AZwater | 114,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,709 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 367d | AZwater | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,462 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 367d | kingofcoinflips8 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $19,419 | +$3,542 +18% | 3 |
| 367d | Hashbrown | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,340 | +$23 +0.4% | 2 |
| 367d | brr69420 | 110,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$242 +23% | 4 |
| 368d | Tonyes | 110,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | +$419 +24% | 4 |
| 368d | zhoujiaxun33603 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $6,686 | +$1,474 +22% | 3 |
| 368d | zhoujiaxun3360 | 112,000 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$309 −30% | — |
| 368d | elbowing | 120,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,397 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 368d | Thin-Print6 fills | 114,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $17,555 | +$313 +1.8% | 2 |
| 368d | zhoujiaxun3360 | 112,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,193 | +$319 +15% | 3 |
| 368d | zhoujiaxun3360 | 110,000 | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,619 | −$661 −41% | — |
| 368d | easyclap4 fills | 114,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $12,156 | +$788 +6.5% | 2 |
| 368d | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,077 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 368d | swas123e | 110,000 | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | −$624 −43% | — |
| 368d | xSeas | 110,000 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $7,365 | −$2,817 −38% | — |
| 368d | 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,705 | +$70 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 368d | jameslopez | 116,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 |
| 368d | moneycome99 | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 368d | ele11 | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 368d | zabor | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,545 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 368d | Raketasa2 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,500 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 368d | jibamaooo | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 368d | jibamaooo | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 368d | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,032 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 368d | betheone | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,084 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 368d | petya | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,970 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 368d | petya | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 368d | lilik | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,004 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 368d | jiejie001 | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,007 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 368d | choohkz23 | 108,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,064 | +$64 +3.1% | 2 |
| 368d | bigsmartgege | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,874 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 368d | 106,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$21 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 368d | MAGA2002 fills | 122,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,084 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 368d | superdo2 fills | 122,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,084 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 368d | PolyBlaster2 fills | 110,000 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | −$930 −45% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.