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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +48 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | winwin10086 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,215 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,174 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,297 | +$137 +2.2% | 2 | |
| 3d | zx323 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | 82,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$20 −2.0% | — | |
| 3d | noloainakaila | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$17 +0.9% | 2 |
| 3d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,417 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 3d | mingxyz | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,242 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $5,410 | +$1,054 +19% | 3 |
| 3d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,886 | −$6 −0.2% | — | |
| 3d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,333 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 3d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,504 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 3d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,536 | −$14 −0.1% | — | |
| 3d | YautjaPM22 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | Candela | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,654 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 3d | notover555 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,062 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | Rust701 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,059 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 3d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,584 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 3d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,587 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,640 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 3d | winwin10086 | 84,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | +$480 +14% | 3 |
| 3d | averagerandomman | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 3d | averagerandomman | 82,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$113 +11% | 3 |
| 3d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,801 | +$40 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 3d | Candela2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,482 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 3d | Sylar012 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,450 | +$27 +0.6% | 2 |
| 3d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$60 +1.3% | 2 |
| 3d | YautjaPM2 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 3d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 3d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — | |
| 3d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,603 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | ssddssd | 82,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | −$1,620 −100% | 4 |
| 3d | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,311 | +$68 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 3d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 3d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 3d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,413 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 3d | suntori2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,895 | −$24 −0.4% | — |
| 3d | suntori2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,901 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 3d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,960 | +$155 +5.2% | 2 |
| 3d | Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$16 +0.8% | 2 |
| 3d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,300 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 3d | PmDerek2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,984 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 3d | PmDerek | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,799 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 3d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,107 | −$3 −0.3% | — | |
| 3d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 3d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,038 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 3d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,688 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 3d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 3d | 78,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | −$35 −2.2% | — | |
| 3d | frankzhao | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 3d | laishuoxin | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 4d | 0xDB5 | 84,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$53 +4.2% | 2 |
| 4d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,296 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 4d | notover555 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 4d | yiba2 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,908 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 4d | zx323 | 80,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,434 | +$66 +4.6% | 2 |
| 4d | Pellepele | 84,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,656 | +$125 +7.5% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.