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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 100% | +89 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +33 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,400 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 2d | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,386 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 2d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 2d | Vasyatrade23 | 84,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$99 −8.0% | — |
| 2d | Medical-Collagen2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,289 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 2d | Xangyu3 | 84,000 | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,691 | −$438 −16% | — |
| 2d | averagerandomman | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,018 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 2d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,073 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,387 | +$1,591 +67% | 5 |
| 2d | 84,000 | SellYes47¢ → 100¢ | $10,686 | −$12,196 −114% | — | |
| 2d | Navigator77 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | +$30 +0.7% | 2 |
| 2d | 82,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$6 −0.6% | — | |
| 2d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 2d | detoxification | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,743 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Candela2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,971 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 |
| 2d | Candela | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,158 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | 0xDB5 | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | +$29 +2.1% | 2 |
| 2d | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$19 +1.8% | 2 | |
| 2d | YautjaPM2 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,643 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Glennraven | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,696 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Vort3xhz | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 2d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,988 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,782 | +$103 +1.3% | 2 | |
| 2d | PmDerek | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,136 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,486 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | PmDerek | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,811 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | wh0511 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,075 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | H.xs | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,084 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | wyh. | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Chepaik | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,186 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 2d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,567 | +$60 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 2d | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$12 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 2d | easypredict3 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,393 | +$415 +7.7% | 2 |
| 2d | Tianhe | 82,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,262 | +$197 +8.7% | 3 |
| 2d | jjjclv6 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,000 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,030 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 2d | Gregarious-Distribution | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,003 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,231 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 2d | Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | +$23 +1.1% | 2 |
| 2d | chet010 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,291 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 2d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,900 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 3d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,496 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 3d | ndjkasn | 80,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | −$24 −2.2% | — |
| 3d | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,002 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 3d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,820 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 3d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,448 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 3d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 3d | suntori | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,537 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 3d | suntori | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,543 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 3d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,834 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 3d | laishuoxin | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,284 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,607 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 3d | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | +$26 +1.4% | 2 | |
| 3d | YoungAndFree | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 3d | UPbet | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,021 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 3d | lingke | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,850 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,596 | −$11 −0.2% | — |
| 3d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,602 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | yiba2 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,956 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 100%.