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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −70 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −16 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −97 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | winwin10086 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,494 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | LaRRaNed | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,400 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | saftytrader | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,112 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 1d |  AkarshitGangwar | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,953 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d |  gangwarharshit | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,206 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Rust701 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,437 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 1d | Tianhe | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,603 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 1d |  Facaie | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,363 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d |  ZeinST | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,456 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,249 | +$151 +6.7% | 3 |
| 1d | TangS41892 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,782 | +$71 +0.9% | 2 |
| 1d | Medical-Collagen2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,310 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 1d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,025 | −$12 −0.6% | — |
| 1d | robert-mukhametov | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,186 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 1d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing4 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,675 | +$337 +1.4% | 2 |
| 1d | Mivindos | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,631 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | gangwarharshit | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,071 | +$63 +2.0% | 2 |
| 1d | winwin10086 | 82,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,502 | +$487 +32% | 4 |
| 1d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,130 | +$39 +0.9% | 2 |
| 1d |  0x66b71 | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$30 +2.7% | 2 |
| 1d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,835 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,089 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d |  Tttyh2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,720 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | YautjaPM2 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,983 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | Glennraven | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$48 +1.0% | 2 |
| 1d | MU247 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,005 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 1d | Facaie | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,519 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | detoxification | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | detoxification | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,470 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | Tianhe | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,704 | +$42 +2.5% | 2 |
| 2d | 0xDB5 | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,307 | +$84 +3.6% | 2 |
| 2d | easyclap3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,209 | +$256 +4.1% | 2 |
| 2d | Doomster | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | −$13 −1.1% | — |
| 2d |  soylentgoy2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,952 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 2d | H.xs | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,085 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d | wyh. | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d | lingke | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d | wh0511 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,076 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d | Nothfail2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,020 | +$97 +3.2% | 2 |
| 2d |  LiMoon | 80,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$42 −3.8% | — |
| 2d | Tttyh | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | VotaVOX | 82,000 | SellNo35¢ → 100¢ | $1,373 | −$2,525 −184% | — |
| 2d | Tttyh | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,716 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | averagerandomman | 80,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$39 +3.6% | 2 |
| 2d |  walnascar | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,172 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 2d | soylentgoy | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 2d |  MOCAVERSE | 80,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,782 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 2d |  leowei2025 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 2d | leowei2025 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 2d | laishuoxin | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,284 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 2d | Tttyh2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,166 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 2d | Tttyh | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,166 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | jjjclv6 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,000 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 2d |  GoodLuck68886 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,049 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 2d | saftytrader | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 2d | KFai | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,151 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.