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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 0% | −17 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +52 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +20 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +7 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365d | XZZD | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,179 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | 110,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,811 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 365d | Luckyguyy | 110,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,132 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | suryadewan | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,981 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | Hedgooooor | 110,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,303 | −$155 −1.0% | — |
| 365d | A-X | 110,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 365d | 100,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 365d | yuashd56 | 110,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 2 |
| 365d | htrthh | 110,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,647 | +$69 +4.2% | 2 |
| 365d | 110,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | +$40 +2.2% | 2 | |
| 365d | vvela | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,795 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 365d | ten4 | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,198 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 365d | Thin-Print4 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $12,942 | +$892 +6.9% | 3 |
| 365d | deranged | 114,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,083 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | Alpha4343 | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,064 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 365d | Thin-Print | 102,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,135 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | 112,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,790 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 365d | nowwehere | 110,000 | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,787 | −$1,787 −100% | 5 |
| 365d | ethyhy | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,832 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 365d | 98,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,863 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 365d | 100,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,374 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 365d | 99c | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,144 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 365d | alligater3 fills | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | Silvercito | 110,000 | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,457 | −$655 −45% | — |
| 365d | Wath2 fills | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | lb6480 | 114,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,681 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 365d | Poopymanu | 108,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | −$69 −4.6% | — |
| 365d | 123.bnb | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,611 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 365d | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,017 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 365d | lilijiao3549 | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,130 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 365d | dsgerr | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,194 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 365d | guijiajia | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$19 +0.9% | 2 |
| 365d | sergay | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,456 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 365d | vcjwqqw | 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 365d | ahmedxa | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,544 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 365d | LinusB | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,588 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 365d | workkhard | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,250 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 365d | savagee | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,242 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 365d | Dirty-ReorganisationNew account | 110,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,830 | +$1,273 +45% | 7 |
| 365d | grrrrttt | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,232 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 365d | andrez | 106,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,939 | +$40 +1.4% | 2 |
| 365d | ghj1h345 | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,138 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 365d | huang50 | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,022 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 365d | easypredict3 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,662 | +$1,255 +27% | 2 |
| 365d | fdhrrr | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,249 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 365d | htrtrrt | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,931 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 365d | dfdss | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,403 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 365d | mayabuyaoya | 102,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,406 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 365d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c203 fills | 110,000 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $3,415 | +$1,953 +57% | 3 |
| 365d | Ddd2 | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,108 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 365d | dgdgrr | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,187 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 365d | chlioe | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,847 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 365d | gfdyyy | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,286 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 365d | xiao66huihui | 112,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,554 | +$45 +1.8% | 2 |
| 365d | fdgdfttt | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,248 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 365d | 114,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,115 | +$47 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 365d | 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,647 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 365d | nickeng17 fills | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $49,251 | −$49 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | fly-pig19 fills | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $55,045 | −$55 −0.1% | — |
| 365d | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,195 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 118,000 means the market gives it about 0%.