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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −38 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | baba1443 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,402 | +$38 +0.5% | 2 |
| 1d | noloainakaila | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$18 +0.9% | 2 |
| 1d |  ZeinST | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,414 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | ZeinST | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,991 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d |  gangwarharshit2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,964 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 1d |  AkarshitGangwar | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,657 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d |  Tttyh | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d |  Pafuta | 82,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$86 +6.4% | 3 |
| 1d | Pafuta | 80,000 | SellYes100¢ | $2,606 | −$13 −0.5% | — |
| 1d | detoxification2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,234 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 1d | GoingGangrene | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,601 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | GoingGangrene | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,358 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 1d | ZeinST | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,724 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | gangwarharshit | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,808 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $3,626 | −$3,626 −100% | 10 |
| 1d | Rust7012 fills | 80,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,122 | −$88 −4.2% | — |
| 1d | Medical-Collagen3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,662 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 1d |  KupaKeepKlan | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,149 | +$21 +0.4% | 2 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 82,000 | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,485 | +$2,485 +100% | — |
| 1d | KupaKeepKlan | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,288 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | gangwarharshit | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Pafuta | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,381 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca78 fills | 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,959 | −$216 −1.1% | — |
| 1d | ZeinST2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,186 | −$16 −0.7% | — |
| 1d |  gugu-gaga | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,700 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | Navigator772 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,230 | +$57 +0.6% | 2 |
| 1d |  0x66b71 | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$19 +1.6% | 2 |
| 1d | averagerandomman2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,082 | +$80 +3.8% | 2 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca713 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $34,887 | +$1,152 +3.3% | 2 |
| 1d | Vort3xhz | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$17 +1.7% | 2 |
| 1d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,077 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,725 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Candela2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,540 | +$20 +0.3% | 2 |
| 1d | YautjaPM22 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | Candela | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,458 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | Glennraven | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,796 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,815 | +$74 +1.1% | 2 |
| 1d | detoxification | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,531 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 1d | detoxification | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d |  walnascar | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 1d | Cylindrical-Sponge | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,243 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 1d | Tianhe2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,412 | +$134 +5.6% | 2 |
| 1d | Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,804 | +$13 +0.7% | 2 |
| 1d |  CHINANO1 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,034 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | magcidwa | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d |  soylentgoy4 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$31 +0.6% | 2 |
| 1d | suntori2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,932 | −$45 −1.6% | — |
| 1d | Tttyh4 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,742 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | suntori2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,866 | +$42 +1.5% | 2 |
| 1d | suntori3 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,862 | −$19 −0.4% | — |
| 1d | suntori3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,869 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 1d | Tttyh | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,503 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | frankzhao | 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 1d |  leowei2025 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 1d | Marioy | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$21 +1.9% | 2 |
| 1d | jjjclv6 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | robert-mukhametov | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 1d | YoungAndFree | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,662 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | wmart.pty | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,997 | +$95 +2.4% | 2 |
| 1d | frankzhao | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$11 +0.7% | 2 |
High-Level-Petition2,558 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.