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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 93% | +6 pts | — | 92¢ · 94¢ (1¢) | $100K | in 14h |
| 76,000 | >99% | +1 pts | — | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | $50.1K | in 14h |
| 78,000 | 99% | +1 pts | — | 99¢ · 99¢ (<1¢) | $40K | in 14h |
| 74,000 | >99% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | $36.2K | in 14h |
| 82,000 | 4% | −36 pts | — | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $32.4K | in 14h |
| 86,000 | <1% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $22.4K | in 14h |
| 72,000 | >99% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $20.6K | in 14h |
| 84,000 | <1% | −5 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $17.7K | in 14h |
| 92,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $11.7K | in 14h |
| 90,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $8.65K | in 14h |
| 88,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | $2.87K | in 14h |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h |  Tttyh | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,227 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 1h | TangS41892 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,528 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 1h |  Facaie | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1h | Facaie | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,255 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 1h | Xgs | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 99¢ | $2,156 | +$16 +0.8% | 2 |
| 1h | TangS4189 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,059 | +$2 +0.2% | — |
| 3h |  MOCAVERSE | 78,000 | SellYes98¢ → 99¢ | $1,707 | −$18 −1.1% | — |
| 3h | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 82,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $1,347 | +$30 +2.2% | 3 |
| 4h | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 93¢ | $1,567 | −$61 −3.9% | 2 |
| 6h | baba1443 | 82,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 96¢ | $6,692 | +$616 +9.2% | 4 |
| 8h | KFai | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,311 | −$13 −0.3% | 2 |
| 9h | baba1443 | 80,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 93¢ | $1,687 | −$26 −1.5% | 2 |
| 10h |  FXC | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,030 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 10h | chet010 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ | $1,584 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 12h | PmDerek | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,178 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12h | PmDerek | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22h | coconutsteaksauce | 80,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 93¢ | $1,051 | +$32 +3.0% | 2 |
| 1d | Marioy | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 99¢ | $1,280 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 1d | Mundane-Maternity-Sovereignty | 80,000 | BuyNo16¢ → 7¢ | $1,192 | −$677 −57% | 5 |
| 4d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 78,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 99¢ | $1,615 | +$102 +6.3% | 2 |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → >99¢ | $2,615 | +$51 +2.0% | 2 |
| 5d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 76,000 | BuyYes95¢ → >99¢ | $1,226 | +$59 +4.8% | 2 |
Garibaldi43b772 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 93¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 93%.