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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 78% | −2 pts | — | 78¢ · 79¢ (2¢) | $12.6K | in 2d |
| 84,000 | 1% | −7 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $8.75K | in 2d |
| 78,000 | 98% | +2 pts | — | 98¢ · 98¢ (1¢) | $7.94K | in 2d |
| 82,000 | 13% | −26 pts | — | 12¢ · 13¢ (1¢) | $5.65K | in 2d |
| 76,000 | 99% | 0 pts | — | 99¢ · 99¢ (<1¢) | $3.27K | in 2d |
| 88,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.3K | in 2d |
| 86,000 | 1% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $2.24K | in 2d |
| 74,000 | >99% | 0 pts | — | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | $1.59K | in 2d |
| 72,000 | >99% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $965 | in 2d |
| 92,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $330 | in 2d |
| 90,000 | <1% | −1 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $180 | in 2d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Mundane-Maternity-Sovereignty | 84,000 | SellNo70¢ → 99¢ | $2,074 | −$859 −41% | — |
| 3d |  win-ok | 86,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,121 | +$50 +4.5% | 3 |
| 4d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 76,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 99¢ | $1,015 | +$29 +2.8% | 3 |
PBot-10840 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 78¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 78%.