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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 26% | −14 pts | — | 25¢ · 27¢ (2¢) | $8.19K | in 3d |
| 78,000 | 95% | +2 pts | — | 95¢ · 96¢ (2¢) | $7.87K | in 3d |
| 80,000 | 74% | −1 pts | — | 73¢ · 74¢ (1¢) | $6.2K | in 3d |
| 76,000 | 98% | +1 pts | — | 97¢ · 99¢ (2¢) | $6.16K | in 3d |
| 86,000 | 1% | −3 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $2.45K | in 3d |
| 84,000 | 5% | −8 pts | — | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | $1.83K | in 3d |
| 90,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| 92,000 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| 88,000 | <1% | −1 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $409 | in 3d |
| 72,000 | >99% | +1 pts | — | 100¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | $69.8 | in 3d |
| 74,000 | 99% | +1 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | $35 | in 3d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 74¢ | $1,487 | −$299 −20% | 3 |
| 2d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 95¢ | $1,789 | −$13 −0.7% | 3 |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 76,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 98¢ | $1,013 | +$34 +3.4% | 3 |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 99¢ | $1,194 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 26¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 26%.