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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 99% | 0 pts | — | 98¢ · 99¢ (1¢) | — | in 4d |
| 78,000 | 90% | 0 pts | — | 89¢ · 92¢ (3¢) | $2.78K | in 4d |
| 86,000 | 2% | −4 pts | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $1.82K | in 4d |
| 72,000 | 99% | +1 pts | — | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | in 4d |
| 76,000 | 98% | +1 pts | — | 97¢ · 99¢ (2¢) | $580 | in 4d |
| 80,000 | 65% | −7 pts | — | 64¢ · 66¢ (2¢) | $558 | in 4d |
| 82,000 | 28% | −14 pts | — | 26¢ · 30¢ (4¢) | — | in 4d |
| 84,000 | 8% | −10 pts | — | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | $260 | in 4d |
| 88,000 | 2% | −1 pts | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $240 | in 4d |
| 90,000 | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 4d |
| 92,000 | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 4d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 98¢ | $1,095 | +$7 +0.6% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 99¢ for 74,000 means the market gives it about 99%.