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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +24 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | NachiketD | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,808 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | Noteagle | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,921 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 20d | TangS41892 fills | 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,452 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 20d | PmDerek | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 20d | PmDerek | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | TangS4189 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,766 | +$34 +1.2% | 2 |
| 20d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,792 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 20d |  walnascar | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 20d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,255 | +$26 +0.8% | 2 |
| 20d |  jakebet | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,033 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 20d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,048 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 20d |  Tttyh2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,600 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 21d |  Facaie3 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,521 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | averagerandomman | 84,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$69 +6.7% | 2 |
| 21d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,688 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,639 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | Glennraven | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,293 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | Doomster | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 21d | Doomster | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,254 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | Navigator77 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,537 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 21d | Facaie2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,590 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 21d |  soylentgoy2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | Sylar012 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,065 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,741 | +$249 +9.1% | 3 |
| 21d | Tttyh | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,805 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Tttyh | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,805 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | YoungAndFree | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | Tttyh | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Tttyh2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $33,863 | +$34 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | DOWNbet | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d |  ZeinST | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,461 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Facaie4 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,628 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | carmouchevernony | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,214 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | Rust701 | 84,000 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,717 | −$936 −34% | — |
| 21d | Rust701 | 84,000 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$848 +85% | 4 |
| 21d | 0xDB5 | 82,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,904 | −$86 −4.5% | — |
| 21d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,962 | +$184 +6.2% | 2 |
| 21d | Facaie | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | Facaie | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$16 +0.8% | 2 |
| 21d |  FXC | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,782 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | PmDerek | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,395 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | PmDerek | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | baba1443 | 88,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,473 | +$56 +3.8% | 2 |
| 21d | 0xDB5 | 84,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$71 −7.0% | — |
| 22d | 0xDB5 | 82,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$36 +3.3% | 2 |
| 22d | NachiketD | 88,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,500 | +$318 +3.3% | 2 |
| 22d | coconutsteaksauce | 82,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 2 |
| 22d | Xgs | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$22 +1.5% | 2 |
| 22d | easyclap | 84,000 | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $4,234 | −$4,234 −100% | 3 |
| 25d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 78,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,478 | +$322 +7.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.
