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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110,000 | 100% | +86 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +64 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +15 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +33 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 110,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $23,054 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | averagerandomman | 102,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,196 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | Thin-Print2 fills | 110,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,665 | −$210 −1.8% | — |
| 356d | Thin-Print | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,756 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | nohedge | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,200 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | nohedge2 fills | 102,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,079 | −$21 −0.4% | — |
| 356d | inteldegen | 110,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,895 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | Thin-Print | 114,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | Thin-Print | 112,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,179 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | Thin-Print | 106,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,931 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | juhan888 | 112,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,084 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 356d | karlkk | 110,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 356d | rwo | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,754 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 356d | defi4real | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,233 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 356d | Thin-Print3 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,562 | +$535 +6.2% | 2 |
| 356d | degen-trader | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 356d | Alpha4343 | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,881 | +$39 +1.0% | 2 |
| 356d |  alexfunfunfun | 110,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.0% | 2 |
| 356d | 0xe3da…a0f93 fills | 110,000 | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $7,279 | −$2,065 −28% | — |
| 356d |  moomoomoo5 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $13,454 | +$621 +4.6% | 2 |
| 356d | brr694203 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,669 | +$403 +11% | 3 |
| 356d | TheLastOfMachine | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,520 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | 0xe3da…a0f92 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $11,151 | +$2,500 +22% | 4 |
| 357d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c204 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $8,890 | +$2,326 +26% | 4 |
| 357d | Uniform-Eve | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,543 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | juhan888 | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,776 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d |  Occult | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,136 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | 110,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$127 +9.9% | 3 |
| 357d | ultraaxiom | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,856 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | moomoomoo2 fills | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,019 | +$80 +0.7% | 2 |
| 357d | brr694202 fills | 110,000 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,739 | −$462 −12% | — |
| 357d |  BoringPunter5 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,885 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | you88 | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | Mean-Morbid | 110,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$67 +6.4% | 3 |
| 357d | Mean-Morbid | 108,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 357d | Robust-Database | 108,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 357d | juastin | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,174 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d |  gemgemvalue | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,812 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 357d | samrag | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | vvela | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,794 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d |  pmrev4 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,979 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | Dirty-Reorganisation2 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,469 | +$1,100 +32% | 5 |
| 357d | greguo | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,447 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | hollty | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,372 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | gemgemvalue | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,817 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 357d | doodemba3 fills | 110,000 | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $4,030 | −$3,095 −77% | — |
| 357d | BoringPunter | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,000 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | BoringPunter | 114,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,754 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | mmmy5 | 114,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,360 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,793 | +$48 +1.0% | 2 |
| 357d | 0xe3da…a0f94 fills | 110,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $8,166 | −$8,166 −100% | 5 |
| 357d | doodemba3 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $5,030 | +$5,098 +101% | 5 |
| 357d | 0x552702e9e7969eab6518426a94ab2813d4f36c862 fills | 114,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,004 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 357d | vvela3 fills | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,783 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | 0xe3da…a0f94 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,919 | +$154 +1.6% | 2 |
| 357d | pmrev2 fills | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $42,887 | +$60 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | jhy77 | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,944 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | dmitrij3067 | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,090 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | JHValueUp | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,024 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 357d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | 110,000 | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $9,199 | −$9,199 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 110,000 means the market gives it about 100%.