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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −25 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | Rust701 | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,069 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 18d |  upont | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,725 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | morkolen | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 18d | noloainakaila | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$15 +0.7% | 2 |
| 18d | baba1443 | 86,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,339 | +$56 +4.2% | 2 |
| 18d | Noteagle2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,601 | +$34 +0.4% | 2 |
| 18d | PmDerek | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,859 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | suntori | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,886 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,800 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 18d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 86,000 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,122 | −$466 −22% | — |
| 18d | Navigator77 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 18d | baba1443 | 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $7,069 | +$36 +0.5% | 2 |
| 18d | PmDerek | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,657 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | YautjaPM2 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,792 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d | Hashbrown2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $25,153 | +$147 +0.6% | 2 |
| 18d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 86,000 | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $1,937 | −$1,937 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | Glennraven | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,072 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d |  spica258 | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | +$17 +1.1% | 2 |
| 18d | detoxification | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,106 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 18d | detoxification | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 18d | poweragain | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 18d | 0xe617…f251 | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$28 +1.4% | 2 |
| 18d |  Tttyh | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | Rust701 | 84,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$72 +2.4% | 2 |
| 18d | suntori6 fills | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,780 | −$26 −0.3% | — |
| 18d | suntori6 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,300 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,319 | +$32 +0.3% | 2 |
| 18d | suntori | 84,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$30 +2.8% | 2 |
| 18d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing10 fills | 82,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,976 | −$136 −1.0% | — |
| 18d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing12 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,375 | +$75 +0.4% | 2 |
| 18d | wh0511 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d |  soylentgoy3 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,500 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 |
| 18d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,037 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d | wyh. | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,024 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d | H.xs | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 18d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 86,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,905 | +$1,167 +61% | 4 |
| 18d | kolassadamarist | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,217 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 18d | Tttyh | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 19d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $7,338 | +$1,014 +14% | 3 |
| 19d | PmDerek | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,563 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 19d | PmDerek2 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,237 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 19d | PmDerek | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,421 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | Gregarious-Distribution | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,906 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 19d |  CHINANO1 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,861 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 19d | Rust701 | 88,000 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$193 −19% | — |
| 19d | DiversifiedBS | 86,000 | SellYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,302 | +$1,302 +100% | — |
| 19d | Rust701 | 88,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$227 +23% | 3 |
| 19d | DiversifiedBS | 86,000 | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,306 | −$1,306 −100% | 4 |
| 19d | KFai | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,129 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 19d |  jakebet | 90,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,836 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 19d | jakebet | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,920 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 19d |  FXC | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 19d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,044 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 19d | PmDerek | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,916 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 19d | PmDerek | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 20d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | 88,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$29 +2.8% | 2 |
| 20d | SingW | 84,000 | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,249 | −$1,249 −100% | 4 |
| 20d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,144 | +$86 +4.0% | 2 |
| 21d | yiqiz | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,388 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 22d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.