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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −39 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −93 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | Noteagle | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,060 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d |  upont | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,073 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d |  ZeinST | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,733 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | noloainakaila | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,400 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 16d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,796 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,924 | −$115 −3.9% | — |
| 16d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,701 | +$41 +1.5% | 2 |
| 16d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$28 +0.9% | 2 |
| 16d | Nothfail | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,429 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | Candela | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Glennraven | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | YautjaPM2 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,543 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | averagerandomman | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,111 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d | 0x2b8a…6429 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 16d | TangS4189 | 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 16d | 0xDB5 | 82,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,031 | −$89 −8.6% | — |
| 16d | baba1443 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,561 | +$56 +0.7% | 2 |
| 16d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | SellYes100¢ | $1,144 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 17d | detoxification2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,827 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d |  Facaie4 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,303 | +$63 +0.8% | 2 |
| 17d | wh0511 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d | H.xs | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,043 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d |  Tttyh | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,813 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | Tttyh | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,813 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $9,078 | +$484 +5.3% | 2 |
| 17d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | +$90 +3.5% | 2 |
| 17d | xiaojido202 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d |  walnascar | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,308 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 17d | venezuelain | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,792 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d | Facaie | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | Nothfail | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$20 +1.3% | 2 |
| 17d |  lasiweijiasi | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$27 +1.5% | 2 |
| 17d |  soylentgoy3 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,500 | +$31 +0.5% | 2 |
| 17d |  helvetic-samba | 82,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | −$113 −7.6% | — |
| 17d | TangS4189 | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,291 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 17d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,001 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d | PmDerek | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,137 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 17d | UPbet | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,288 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 17d | TangS4189 | 90,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,033 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 17d | YoungAndFree | 90,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,839 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 17d | lee886 | 82,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$90 +9.0% | 3 |
| 17d | lee886 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$29 +1.4% | 2 |
| 17d | averagerandomman | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$27 +2.5% | 2 |
| 17d |  MOCAVERSE | 82,000 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,075 | −$275 −13% | — |
| 17d |  coinman2 | 86,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$275 +25% | 3 |
| 17d | DOWNbet | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,983 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d |  leowei2025 | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 17d | leowei2025 | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$16 +1.6% | 2 |
| 17d | UPbet | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,007 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | Rust701 | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$40 +1.3% | 2 |
| 17d | Gregarious-Distribution | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,934 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d |  CHINANO1 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,965 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d | kingofcoinflips | 88,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$89 +5.3% | 2 |
| 17d | KFai | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,748 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 17d |  jakebet2 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,882 | +$26 +0.5% | 2 |
| 17d | yiqiz | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,600 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | Rust701 | 84,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 2 |
| 17d | PmDerek2 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,393 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 17d | shabbysalta | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
wAliens6,360 shares
erevan5,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.