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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 0% | −8 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +65 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +24 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d |  gangwarharshit | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,926 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | 0xf705…3ca78 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $29,664 | +$1,672 +5.6% | 2 |
| 14d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,618 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 14d |  AkarshitGangwar | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 14d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$18 +1.2% | 2 |
| 14d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,258 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,273 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | 1881aa | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,192 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 14d |  Tttyh2 fills | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,787 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | rizotor | 82,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$24 −2.3% | — |
| 14d | Medical-Collagen3 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,152 | +$61 +1.9% | 2 |
| 14d | Tttyh | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,331 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d |  walnascar | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | WanTonMee | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,227 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | Baristas | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,986 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,898 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | Navigator77 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,406 | +$20 +0.6% | 2 |
| 14d | 1881aa2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,168 | +$24 +0.8% | 2 |
| 14d |  CoinTrick | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$73 +3.6% | 2 |
| 14d | apper | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,090 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 14d | Candela | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,864 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | YautjaPM2 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,275 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | Glennraven | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,693 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | Dou123 | 80,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 14d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,361 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 14d | UPbet | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | DOWNbet | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,360 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | TraceView | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,259 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,653 | −$38 −1.0% | — |
| 14d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | 84,000 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $14,975 | −$2,121 −14% | — |
| 14d |  ZeinST | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,813 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d |  olegs2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,326 | +$124 +0.5% | 2 |
| 14d |  Facaie | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,920 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | momo-0916 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,082 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,006 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 14d | 0xDB5 | 84,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,965 | −$95 −4.8% | — |
| 14d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing3 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,188 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 14d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $11,944 | +$3,703 +31% | 4 |
| 14d | Tttyh | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,560 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | yiba2 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,858 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | easyclap | 84,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$142 +9.2% | 3 |
| 14d | detoxification | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | detoxification | 78,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 14d | Winged-Dumbwaiter-Tonality | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 14d | Facaie2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | olegs3 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,292 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 |
| 14d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,667 | +$336 +9.2% | 3 |
| 14d | yiqiz | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,609 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d |  soylentgoy | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,500 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | Nothfail | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,291 | +$12 +0.9% | 2 |
| 14d | jjjclv6 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 14d | suntori | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 14d | suntori | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 14d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing6 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,147 | −$26 −0.3% | — |
| 14d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing6 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,182 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 14d | PathLens | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,306 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 14d | kolassadamarist | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 14d | YoungAndFree | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.