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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >110k | 0% | −19 pts | −71 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >108k | 100% | +37 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >116k | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >112k | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >106k | 100% | +10 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >114k | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >118k | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >104k | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417d | okyto | >110k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,266 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 417d | usuallyheads2 fills | >108k | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $32,720 | −$2,280 −7.0% | — |
| 417d |  brockthebaby4 fills | >110k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,794 | +$149 +2.6% | 2 |
| 417d | 0xb68a…c56814 fills | >110k | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $40,747 | +$13,886 +34% | 2 |
| 417d | kydlinfdsn11878 | >112k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,594 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 417d | lordedward | >108k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 417d | Hashbrown | >110k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,052 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 |
| 417d | AZwater | >106k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,586 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 417d | AZwater | >114k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,495 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 417d | averagerandomman | >116k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,429 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 417d | rwo | >114k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,396 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 417d | 0xb68a…c5689 fills | >110k | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $28,545 | −$6,847 −24% | — |
| 417d | brr694202 fills | >110k | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | −$752 −34% | — |
| 417d | usuallyheads9 fills | >108k | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $23,474 | +$11,517 +49% | 3 |
| 417d | lordedward | >110k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$47 +4.2% | 2 |
| 417d | lordedward | >108k | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | −$1,164 −61% | — |
| 417d | amn123465 | >110k | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,164 | −$475 −41% | — |
| 417d | AZwater | >114k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,942 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 417d | metafc | >108k | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | +$129 +8.7% | 3 |
| 417d | rdwyegb | >110k | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $2,364 | −$2,364 −100% | 4 |
| 417d | lordedward | >110k | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,787 | −$654 −23% | — |
| 417d | 0xb68a…c5687 fills | >108k | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $10,543 | −$10,543 −100% | 10 |
| 417d | Chalasis | >108k | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,147 | −$920 −43% | — |
| 417d | 0xb68a…c568 | >108k | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $3,150 | −$1,850 −59% | — |
| 417d | DOWNbet2 fills | >116k | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,728 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 417d | DOWNbet | >118k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 417d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >108k | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $2,938 | +$6,088 +207% | 8 |
| 417d | usuallyheads2 fills | >108k | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $6,355 | −$6,355 −100% | 4 |
| 417d | traderdubz2 fills | >108k | SellYes47¢ → 100¢ | $2,649 | −$2,987 −113% | — |
| 417d | 0xb68a…c56814 fills | >116k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $55,732 | +$2,234 +4.0% | 2 |
| 417d | 0xb68a…c5684 fills | >108k | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $11,821 | +$11,821 +100% | — |
| 417d | Chalasis | >108k | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$772 +70% | 4 |
| 417d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >112k | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,630 | +$355 +6.3% | 2 |
| 417d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >110k | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $6,280 | +$1,613 +26% | 3 |
| 417d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | >108k | BuyNo35¢ → 0¢ | $1,750 | −$1,750 −100% | 6 |
| 418d | allin69 | >108k | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$750 +33% | 4 |
| 418d | iamgone | >108k | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 5 |
| 418d | kingofcoinflips8 fills | >110k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $23,392 | +$8,599 +37% | 2 |
| 418d |  Arilo2 fills | >110k | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $14,237 | −$14,237 −100% | 11 |
| 418d | 6968 | >110k | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,863 | −$837 −45% | — |
| 418d | norp14 | >110k | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | −$496 −45% | — |
| 418d | Arilo | >110k | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $24,237 | −$11,069 −46% | — |
| 418d | exceeding | >110k | SellYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,222 | +$1,222 +100% | — |
| 418d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | >110k | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $12,770 | −$12,770 −100% | 3 |
| 418d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | >106k | BuyNo13¢ → 0¢ | $1,242 | −$1,242 −100% | 5 |
| 418d | Arilo | >108k | SellNo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,579 | +$2,579 +100% | — |
| 418d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >116k | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $5,432 | +$1,406 +26% | 2 |
| 419d | hose | >106k | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,704 | +$467 +13% | 2 |
| 419d | allin69 | >108k | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | −$621 −54% | — |
| 419d | mynameisdx | >110k | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 419d | 0xb68a…c568 | >110k | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $1,080 | −$1,080 −100% | 4 |
| 419d |  stackinbit | >112k | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,593 | +$171 +6.6% | 2 |
| 419d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >112k | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,414 | −$1,034 −11% | — |
| 419d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >112k | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $6,969 | +$2,729 +39% | 2 |
| 419d | 0xb68a…c568 | >114k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$37 +3.1% | 2 |
| 419d | bambooo | >108k | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $3,122 | +$3,122 +100% | — |
| 419d | 0xa95bfdb | >108k | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 3 |
| 419d | 0xa95bfdb3 fills | >106k | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $10,070 | +$2,840 +28% | 2 |
| 420d | exceeding | >116k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$200 +4.2% | 2 |
| 420d | traderdubz | >108k | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $3,381 | +$2,254 +67% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >110k means the market gives it about 0%.