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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52d | URAL173 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,765 | +$231 +1.7% | 2 |
| 52d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $5,794 | +$1,295 +22% | 4 |
| 52d | timgor | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | +$51 +2.0% | 2 |
| 52d |  abellll | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,805 | +$95 +2.0% | 2 |
| 52d | morkolen | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$21 +2.0% | 2 |
| 52d | Sukkur | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$49 +2.0% | 2 |
| 52d |  upont | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$30 +2.0% | 2 |
| 52d | baba14433 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $9,278 | +$2,137 +23% | 4 |
| 52d | baba1443 | 78,000 | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $3,399 | −$3,399 −100% | 5 |
| 52d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $5,177 | −$5,177 −100% | 3 |
| 52d | Velova | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,282 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 52d |  ZeinST | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,972 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d |  VasiliSko2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,365 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | FaceShot | 78,000 | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $2,040 | −$2,040 −100% | 7 |
| 52d | Velova | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,281 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | VasiliSko2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,578 | +$29 +0.8% | 2 |
| 52d | 0x2ee2…6ae610 fills | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,287 | −$89 −0.8% | — |
| 52d | 0x2ee2…6ae67 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,840 | +$30 +0.4% | 2 |
| 52d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 52d | Mizukaze | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,011 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d | haskfwqe | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,261 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d | neallindsey | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,716 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | justinramirez | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,700 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d |  Facaie | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | peggyjackson | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,600 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d | Facaie | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,530 | +$61 +2.4% | 2 |
| 52d |  coinman2 | 78,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$478 +45% | 5 |
| 52d | WanTonMee2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,185 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | poweragain | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,707 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d |  lasiweijiasi | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$18 +1.2% | 2 |
| 52d | Candela2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,658 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | YautjaPM22 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,885 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | YautjaPM22 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,285 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,345 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d |  Tttyh | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 52d | Tttyh | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,009 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d | Glennraven | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 52d |  spica258 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,735 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,250 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 52d | Facaie | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 52d | WanTonMee | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,604 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | TangS4189 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,196 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 52d | TangS4189 | 74,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 52d |  olegs2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,603 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 52d | smartttt | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | +$36 +2.0% | 2 |
| 52d | coinman2 | 78,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,369 | −$1,369 −100% | 5 |
| 52d | gobblewobble3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,476 | +$109 +2.4% | 2 |
| 53d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,850 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 53d | Gregarious-Distribution | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,803 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 53d |  CHINANO1 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,857 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,070 | +$158 +3.1% | 2 |
| 53d | 0xDB5 | 80,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | −$81 −7.5% | — |
| 53d | Dou123 | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$20 +1.8% | 2 |
| 53d | PerpetualReversoCalendar | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,060 | +$28 +0.9% | 2 |
| 53d | ndjkasn | 76,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$19 −1.9% | — |
| 53d | YoungAndFree | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 53d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,202 | +$180 +15% | 3 |
| 53d |  BnB-Chasiu2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,953 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,987 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 53d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$24 +1.6% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.
