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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43d | Balenos | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,087 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,172 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | anon.1980.123 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,175 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,391 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,155 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 43d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,281 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 43d | 0x2348…ec522 fills | 76,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,648 | −$111 −4.2% | — |
| 43d | mamai | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,296 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 43d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,771 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,409 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,194 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,752 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 43d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,848 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 43d | noloainakaila | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 43d | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — | |
| 43d | TangS41892 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$58 +2.1% | 2 |
| 43d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,194 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d | anon.1980.123 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,171 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | anon.1980.123 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,338 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,562 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 43d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$38 −3.6% | — |
| 43d | AnonymousPerson | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,931 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | 0xDB5 | 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | +$46 +3.2% | 2 |
| 43d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,164 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 43d | AnonymousPerson | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | Medical-Collagen | 78,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$43 +4.2% | 2 |
| 43d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 43d | PmDerek | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,396 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | PmDerek | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | Mizukaze | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,516 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | Mizukaze2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,683 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,178 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 43d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,197 | +$743 +23% | 4 |
| 43d | 0x2348…ec522 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,677 | +$82 +3.1% | 2 |
| 43d | PmDerek | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,574 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 43d | PmDerek | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,861 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 43d | Candela2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,098 | +$30 +0.2% | 2 |
| 43d | 0x2348…ec52 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,207 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 43d | YautjaPM2 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,297 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 43d | YautjaPM2 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,983 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 43d | Glennraven | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,084 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 43d | WanTonMee | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,182 | +$19 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | smartttt | 78,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,485 | +$337 +9.7% | 3 |
| 43d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 43d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,956 | −$12 −0.1% | — | |
| 43d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,935 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 43d | 72,000 | SellYes100¢ | $1,891 | −$10 −0.5% | — | |
| 43d | averagerandomman | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,108 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 43d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$211 −20% | — |
| 43d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,420 | +$33 +1.0% | 2 |
| 43d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$24 +0.7% | 2 |
| 43d | 78,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $5,393 | +$1,727 +32% | 4 | |
| 43d | Rust701 | 78,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$250 +25% | 4 |
| 43d | Rin2x | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | 76,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | −$76 −4.7% | — | |
| 43d | 0xe617…f251 | 78,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 5 |
| 43d | mingxyz | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 43d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,012 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.