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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42d | ADIAK | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,474 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 42d | URAL17 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | 0xf705…3ca711 fills | 78,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $44,503 | −$599 −1.3% | — |
| 42d | Velova | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 42d | noloainakaila | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$27 +1.3% | 2 |
| 42d | 0xf705…3ca77 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $14,534 | +$15,110 +104% | 4 |
| 42d | 78,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $12,160 | +$6,040 +50% | 3 | |
| 42d | 0x0b9d…a0a9 | 78,000 | SellYes87¢ → 0¢ | $3,374 | +$3,374 +100% | — |
| 42d | 0gravity4 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,060 | +$27 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,216 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 42d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 42d | 0xf705…3ca721 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $47,575 | +$2,504 +5.3% | 2 |
| 42d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 42d | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,711 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 42d | TheBourneIdentity2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,877 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | TheBourneIdentity | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,769 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | 0x2348…ec52 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,446 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 42d | 0xf705…3ca717 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $44,409 | +$5,765 +13% | 2 |
| 42d | anon.1980.1234 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,360 | +$235 +1.8% | 2 |
| 42d | 0xf705…3ca79 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $16,806 | +$445 +2.6% | 2 |
| 42d | 0xf705…3ca711 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,726 | +$292 +0.8% | 2 |
| 42d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,429 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 42d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,397 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 42d | Candela | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Medical-Collagen | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$23 +2.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,829 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | 0xf705…3ca714 fills | 80,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $33,718 | −$2,369 −7.0% | — |
| 42d | Mizukaze2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,549 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | yiqiz | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,509 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Candela | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,011 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Glennraven | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Rust701 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,030 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 42d | yiwu2 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,073 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | 76,000 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $10,671 | −$1,409 −13% | — |
| 42d | 0x2348…ec522 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,419 | +$41 +1.2% | 2 |
| 42d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,755 | −$17 −0.3% | — | |
| 42d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,908 | +$90 +0.5% | 2 |
| 42d | 78,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $1,186 | −$1,186 −100% | 3 | |
| 42d | 80,000 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | −$285 −18% | — | |
| 42d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,460 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 42d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,450 | +$28 +0.8% | 2 |
| 42d | gobblewobble2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,988 | +$137 +4.6% | 2 |
| 42d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 42d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,052 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo24¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$6,912 +316% | 8 |
| 42d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,284 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 42d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,605 | −$5 −0.2% | — | |
| 42d | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | +$30 +1.6% | 2 | |
| 42d | Dou123 | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$22 +1.6% | 2 |
| 42d | TangS4189 | 74,000 | SellYes100¢ | $1,995 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 42d | TangS4189 | 74,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,995 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 42d | jytdfhres | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,279 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | rtuh56 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,387 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | cringe00x | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,200 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | yiliu | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,442 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | giuhjhkg | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,123 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,166 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 43d | chichivanichichivani | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,200 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 43d | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,555 | −$9 −0.1% | — | |
| 43d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $41,413 | +$50 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 0%.