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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 0% | −17 pts | −70 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,034 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 41d | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,309 | +$34 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 41d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,314 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 42d | 0x2348…ec52 | 78,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,349 | −$34 −1.0% | — |
| 42d | Mizukaze2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,943 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,475 | +$61 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 42d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,146 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Candela | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,843 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | YautjaPM2 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Glennraven | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | boyboyboy | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,352 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 42d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,098 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,325 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | Rin2x | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | Doomster | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,126 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 42d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,770 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 42d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,891 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 42d | Gregarious-Distribution | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,860 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 42d | widderhanswsb | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,181 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | IH2P | 78,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$66 +6.4% | 2 |
| 42d | baba1443 | 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,176 | +$115 +5.3% | 2 |
| 42d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $24,675 | −$25 −0.1% | — | |
| 42d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,644 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,447 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 42d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,962 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 42d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,575 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,186 | −$14 −0.1% | — | |
| 42d | atkw | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 42d | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$100 +2.6% | 2 | |
| 42d | hfgdhgfd | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,322 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | fshtsdgdsb | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,488 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,975 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 42d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,245 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 76,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | +$55 +3.7% | 2 |
| 42d | 0xDB5 | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$39 +3.6% | 2 |
| 42d | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,840 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | HANK111 | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,030 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | mulpodsa852 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,328 | +$16 +0.7% | 2 |
| 42d | KFai | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,044 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $5,725 | +$2,415 +42% | 4 |
| 42d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,210 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 42d | On9Chasiu | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,333 | +$17 +0.7% | 2 |
| 42d | niklassssss | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | rtuh56 | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,104 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | giuhjhkg | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,129 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | yiliu | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,451 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | jytfkuyi | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,318 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 42d | jytdfhres | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,279 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 42d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,292 | +$275 +5.2% | 2 |
| 42d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$18 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 42d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$13 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 42d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 42d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 42d | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | +$35 +1.7% | 2 | |
| 42d | yiba2 | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,775 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 0%.