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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −26 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404d | rwo2 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,033 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 404d | RothschildVIII | 114,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,209 | −$184 −8.3% | — |
| 404d |  HowToBasic | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 404d |  brockthebaby7 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $15,031 | +$7,769 +52% | 4 |
| 404d | brockthebaby4 fills | 116,000 | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $7,128 | −$7,128 −100% | 4 |
| 404d | Striped-Dynamo | 114,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,495 | +$25 +0.7% | 2 |
| 404d | vhanedelrosario | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,405 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 404d | sergay | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,426 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 404d | petya | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,714 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d |  stackinbit | 108,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 405d | aadvark3 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,510 | +$990 +28% | 3 |
| 405d | kingofcoinflips8 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $11,839 | +$4,307 +36% | 2 |
| 405d | easypredict3 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,536 | +$438 +5.8% | 2 |
| 405d |  NGG | 116,000 | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,048 | −$759 −72% | — |
| 405d | petya | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | ahmedxa | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,494 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | Sasaqtu | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,020 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | icysfernando | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | RothschildVIII | 114,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,273 | +$120 +5.3% | 2 |
| 406d | kingofcoinflips | 116,000 | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | −$1,320 −100% | 4 |
| 406d | easyclap7 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $13,788 | +$7,209 +52% | 3 |
| 406d | easypredict2 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $3,557 | +$1,463 +41% | 2 |
| 406d | brockthebaby2 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,685 | +$348 +13% | 2 |
| 406d | brockthebaby | 114,000 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | +$800 +56% | 3 |
| 407d | easypredict2 fills | 112,000 | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,253 | −$2,253 −100% | 5 |
| 408d | brockthebaby | 112,000 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$465 +45% | 3 |
| 408d | brockthebaby2 fills | 112,000 | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $3,406 | −$3,406 −100% | 4 |
| 408d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | 112,000 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $1,408 | −$1,408 −100% | 3 |
| 408d | brockthebaby6 fills | 120,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,155 | +$305 +2.7% | 2 |
| 408d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | 116,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$255 +20% | 2 |
| 408d | brockthebaby | 122,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,346 | +$15 +1.1% | 2 |
| 408d | brockthebaby | 110,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$435 +41% | 2 |
| 408d | 0xe3da…a0f92 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,309 | +$211 +6.4% | 2 |
| 408d | brockthebaby | 114,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 2 |
| 409d | 0xb68a…c5684 fills | 122,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,762 | +$200 +3.0% | 2 |
| 409d |  TimJang | 104,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,910 | +$90 +3.1% | 2 |
| 409d | hotero001 | 120,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | +$37 +3.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.