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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d |  abellll2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,845 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 39d |  upont | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,355 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 39d | Candela | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,991 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 39d | morkolen | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 39d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,445 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,099 | +$722 +10% | 3 |
| 39d |  ZeinST | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,792 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d |  VasiliSko | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,351 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 39d | Candela | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,987 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,736 | +$78 +1.4% | 2 |
| 39d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | 0xb5a5…e3ca | 78,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,541 | +$622 +14% | 3 |
| 39d | upont | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | Mizukaze2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,518 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 39d | Mizukaze | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,381 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d |  walnascar | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | notover555 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,478 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 39d | qqmupup | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,665 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 39d | YautjaPM22 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,260 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | YautjaPM2 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,880 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | Glennraven | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | VasiliSko | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,833 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 39d | chet010 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,969 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 39d | chet010 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,988 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 39d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | −$31 −2.8% | — |
| 39d | notover555 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,262 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 39d | notover555 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,263 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 39d | qqmupup | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,619 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 39d | Clawbangers | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$29 +1.4% | 2 |
| 39d | TangS4189 | 76,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,282 | −$26 −2.0% | — |
| 39d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $3,754 | −$3,754 −100% | 5 |
| 39d | TOWERCAPITAL | 78,000 | SellYes44¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | −$2,800 −127% | — |
| 39d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,196 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 39d | TangS4189 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 39d | ZeinST | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,303 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | gekko123456 | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$27 +2.0% | 2 |
| 39d | 0x2348…ec522 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,711 | +$115 +2.0% | 2 |
| 39d | 0x2348…ec52 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,752 | −$26 −0.5% | — |
| 39d |  Tttyh | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,622 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | Tttyh | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,287 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | qqmupup | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d |  Facaie2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | gobblewobble6 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,322 | +$301 +3.2% | 2 |
| 39d | On9Chasiu | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,689 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 39d | Facaie2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,982 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 39d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 39d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 39d | upont4 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,070 | +$35 +0.6% | 2 |
| 39d | IH2P | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$34 +3.2% | 2 |
| 39d | qqmupup | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,988 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 39d | kingofcoinflips | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | +$62 +3.6% | 2 |
| 39d | Facaie | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | Tttyh | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,196 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 39d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,696 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d |  BnB-Chasiu | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,057 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 39d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,768 | −$92 −5.2% | — |
| 39d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,181 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 39d | FWEQFSAD | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,924 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 39d | YTRYHGFD | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,500 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.