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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −34 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402d | amused85 | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 402d | quanterty | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,224 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 402d | AZwater | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 402d | quanterty | 114,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$28 +0.8% | 2 |
| 403d | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 403d | vhanedelrosario | 116,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | +$26 +2.0% | 2 |
| 403d | 116,000 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $11,682 | +$4,158 +36% | 2 | |
| 403d | easyclap5 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $12,975 | +$2,588 +20% | 3 |
| 403d | AZwater | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 403d | kingofcoinflips8 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $18,843 | +$10,398 +55% | 3 |
| 403d | affs207912 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,747 | +$273 +5.8% | 2 |
| 403d | icysfernando | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,005 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 403d | suslikas | 114,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,978 | +$363 +12% | 3 |
| 403d | 110,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $3,184 | +$16 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 403d | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,413 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 403d | AZwater | 118,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,946 | +$81 +2.0% | 2 |
| 403d | maybeexpert | 114,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,249 | +$271 +8.3% | 3 |
| 403d | 118,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,483 | +$139 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 403d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 116,000 | BuyYes34¢ → 0¢ | $5,508 | −$5,508 −100% | 8 |
| 403d | namgungminsu | 114,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,703 | +$458 +12% | 3 |
| 403d | namgungminsu | 112,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,076 | +$44 +0.7% | 2 |
| 403d | Striped-Dynamo | 114,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,594 | +$229 +6.4% | 3 |
| 403d | petya | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,546 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 403d | petya | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 403d | savagee | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,013 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 403d | amused852 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$1,600 +47% | 4 |
| 405d | 118,000 | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,109 | −$1,109 −100% | 4 | |
| 406d | easypredict2 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,670 | +$330 +12% | 2 |
| 406d | easypredict3 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,855 | +$645 +17% | 2 |
| 406d | kingofcoinflips | 106,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$21 +2.0% | 2 |
| 406d | bc1234 | 112,000 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,075 | +$425 +20% | 2 |
| 407d | 116,000 | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $1,465 | −$1,465 −100% | 4 | |
| 407d | 112,000 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$495 +49% | 3 | |
| 408d | 108,000 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$255 +20% | 2 | |
| 408d | 106,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$120 +8.7% | 2 | |
| 408d | 110,000 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$465 +45% | 3 | |
| 409d | 0xb68a…c568 | 122,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$50 +4.9% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.