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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 100% | +99 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +86 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35d | 0x0b9d…a0a9 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,074 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | URAL17 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | bhkMarvin | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,630 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,189 | +$29 +0.9% | 2 |
| 35d |  Tttyh | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | Tttyh2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,320 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | noloainakaila | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 35d | Sugarlatte | 80,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,676 | −$50 −3.0% | — |
| 35d |  walnascar | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,244 | +$40 +1.2% | 2 |
| 35d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$58 +1.4% | 2 |
| 35d | Poortorich | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,048 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | 9527966 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | 0xb5a5…e3ca2 fills | 80,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,396 | −$175 −7.3% | — |
| 35d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | 80,000 | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,292 | −$1,667 −39% | — |
| 35d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $16,986 | +$5,088 +30% | 4 |
| 35d | Mizukaze2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,183 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 35d | CopyOdds | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,175 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d | Rust701 | 80,000 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $9,059 | −$3,138 −35% | — |
| 35d | PathLens | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,213 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d | 0xb5a5…e3ca | 80,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,755 | +$440 +12% | 3 |
| 35d | TraceView | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,066 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 35d | Rust7012 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$2,235 +22% | 4 |
| 35d |  GoodLuck68886 | 82,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | −$76 −5.8% | — |
| 35d | CopyOdds | 82,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,143 | −$297 −7.2% | — |
| 35d |  TCBY6688 | 82,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | −$63 −5.8% | — |
| 35d | PathLens | 82,000 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,260 | −$802 −19% | — |
| 35d | Rust701 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,100 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | Mizukaze | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,625 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | TraceView2 fills | 82,000 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,523 | −$351 −10.0% | — |
| 35d | Candela | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,690 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d |  LiMoon | 82,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,515 | −$92 −6.0% | — |
| 35d | Nesche | 80,000 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $7,147 | +$2,717 +38% | 4 |
| 35d | Xgs | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$36 +3.3% | 2 |
| 35d | Candela | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,755 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | Glennraven | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | 80,000 | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | −$1,214 −99% | — |
| 35d | 1881aa | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,505 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 35d | Xgs | 82,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$34 +3.2% | 2 |
| 35d | Nesche | 78,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,932 | −$476 −4.4% | — |
| 35d | Embellished-Particular | 80,000 | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | −$553 −49% | — |
| 35d |  upont | 84,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,895 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 35d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $2,255 | +$2,414 +107% | 5 |
| 35d | Tttyh2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,806 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 35d | 95276666 | 82,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | −$32 −2.8% | — |
| 35d | 1881aa2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,597 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 35d | Tttyh2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,067 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | venezuelain | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | Vasyatrade23 | 78,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | −$87 −6.1% | — |
| 35d | 0x2348…ec522 fills | 80,000 | SellNo92¢ → 0¢ | $8,841 | +$8,841 +100% | — |
| 35d | Nesche4 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $5,100 | +$4,308 +84% | 4 |
| 35d | TangS41892 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,456 | +$21 +0.6% | 2 |
| 35d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,228 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | TangS4189 | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 35d | H.xs | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,021 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d | wh0511 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,010 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d | easytrades8 | 78,000 | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 35d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $3,086 | +$2,832 +92% | 4 |
| 35d |  ZeinST | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,853 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d |  olegs | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,655 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
Facaie2,619 shares
Greed0022,221 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.