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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 0% | −14 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +11 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34d | Boring-Jewelry | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 34d | PmDerek | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,368 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 34d | Dou123 | 82,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | −$101 −8.6% | — |
| 34d | 0xDB5 | 82,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | −$62 −3.8% | — |
| 34d | nearping2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,076 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d |  spica258 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,697 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | Nesche | 82,000 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | −$157 −13% | — |
| 34d |  Tttyh | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,076 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | Jimmi67 | 82,000 | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,031 | −$1,031 −100% | 5 |
| 34d | 0x2348…ec52 | 82,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,563 | −$301 −8.5% | — |
| 34d | Tttyh2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,107 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 34d | Tttyh | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,602 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | Mizukaze2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,189 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | Tttyh | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,442 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 34d | 0x2348…ec52 | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,783 | +$82 +2.2% | 2 |
| 34d | 0x2348…ec522 fills | 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,445 | −$54 −1.0% | — |
| 34d | Mizukaze | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,325 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | Mizukaze | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,817 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 34d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $4,360 | +$22 +0.5% | 2 |
| 34d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing4 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,167 | +$34 +0.4% | 2 |
| 34d | Tttyh4 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,822 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,056 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 34d |  Facaie | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,810 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 34d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $7,692 | +$1,249 +16% | 3 |
| 34d |  walnascar | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | atkw | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d |  soylentgoy | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 34d |  MOCAVERSE | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 34d | Navigator77 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 34d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,300 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 34d | Tttyh | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,191 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 34d | Tttyh | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,712 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 34d | Tttyh | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,713 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | weathersfaustinomga | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | soylentgoy | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 34d |  d33z0 | 80,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | −$62 −4.6% | — |
| 34d | Tttyh2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,324 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $6,037 | +$1,724 +29% | 3 |
| 34d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | SellYes100¢ | $1,055 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 34d | easypredict | 82,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$323 +27% | 3 |
| 34d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,093 | +$108 +2.6% | 2 |
| 35d | jjjclv6 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,000 | +$47 +0.1% | 2 |
| 35d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 82,000 | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $2,739 | −$2,739 −100% | 11 |
| 35d | Rust701 | 80,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,332 | −$692 −9.4% | — |
| 35d | PmDerek | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,803 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 35d | PmDerek | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d |  GoodLuck68886 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 35d | KFai | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,776 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 35d | TraceView | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,339 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 35d | PathLens | 86,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,079 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 35d | Rust701 | 80,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $6,848 | +$1,175 +17% | 3 |
| 35d |  jakebet2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $3,486 | +$18 +0.5% | 2 |
| 35d | 0x2348…ec523 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,402 | +$98 +1.8% | 2 |
| 35d | 1881aa | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 35d | TangS4189 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$13 +0.9% | 2 |
| 35d |  BnB-Chasiu | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,827 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d | On9Chasiu | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,905 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$26 +2.6% | 2 |
| 35d | mulpodsa85 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,597 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 35d | mulpodsa85 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
d33z08,719 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 0%.