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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | Tianhe | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,298 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 51d | averagerandomman | 78,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 51d | moneyprinters | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,838 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | morkolen | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 51d | AnonymousPerson | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,452 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d |  VasiliSko2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,132 | +$30 +1.4% | 2 |
| 51d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,703 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 51d |  upont | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,974 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 51d | upont | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$41 +3.1% | 2 |
| 51d | AnonymousPerson | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | kelli29 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,087 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | tinarobbins | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,035 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | gobblewobble4 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,148 | +$380 +7.4% | 3 |
| 51d | kelli29 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | Mizukaze2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,488 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | gobblewobble4 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,737 | +$380 +6.6% | 2 |
| 51d | FrostFrost | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,549 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 51d | VasiliSko3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,190 | +$37 +0.5% | 2 |
| 51d |  spica258 | 78,000 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | −$188 −13% | — |
| 51d | Noteagle | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,984 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 51d | detoxification | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,107 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | Tianhe | 76,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,024 | +$276 +14% | 3 |
| 51d | spica258 | 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | +$51 +3.2% | 2 |
| 51d |  Facaie | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,990 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 51d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $7,062 | +$1,260 +18% | 3 |
| 51d | 0xDB5 | 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,395 | +$77 +3.2% | 2 |
| 51d |  lasiweijiasi | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,766 | +$39 +1.4% | 2 |
| 51d | Facaie | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | WanTonMee4 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,863 | +$38 +0.3% | 2 |
| 51d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,877 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | Glennraven | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,397 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | YautjaPM22 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,198 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | spica2582 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,513 | +$36 +1.0% | 2 |
| 51d | PmDerek | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,245 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 51d | wendydream | 78,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | +$69 +4.3% | 2 |
| 51d | Clawbangers | 78,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$66 +3.3% | 2 |
| 51d | On9Chasiu | 74,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,498 | −$102 −2.9% | — |
| 51d | Navigator77 | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,220 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,200 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 51d | lasiweijiasi | 80,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,572 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 51d | dfdsfvcsdv | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | cvcvbv | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,121 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | asdf8888 | 76,000 | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,420 | −$1,420 −100% | 6 |
| 51d | zxcxcvb | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,156 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | fshtsdgdsb | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | hfgdhgfd | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,356 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d |  TCBY6688 | 74,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$31 −2.4% | — |
| 51d |  coinman2 | 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | +$81 +5.3% | 2 |
| 51d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus8 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,593 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 |
| 51d | Rust701 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$26 +1.3% | 2 |
| 51d |  GoodLuck68886 | 74,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | −$21 −1.5% | — |
| 51d | easyclap5 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $15,561 | +$2,566 +16% | 2 |
| 51d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
| 51d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,091 | −$133 −6.4% | — |
| 51d | gekko123456 | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$25 +1.6% | 2 |
| 51d |  Tttyh | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,020 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 51d | Tttyh | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,017 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | Peerusdenarus | 78,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$660 +49% | 4 |
| 51d | giuhjhkg | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,089 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 51d | YoungAndFree2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,771 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
Mahakaal4684,537 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.