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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −53 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 124,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 126,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 397d | kkkkei | 116,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,060 | +$179 +8.7% | 3 |
| 397d |  VinnyViral4 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $13,902 | +$3,138 +23% | 4 |
| 397d | kingofcoinflips20 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $57,434 | +$19,579 +34% | 3 |
| 397d |  brockthebaby14 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $32,569 | +$21,263 +65% | 4 |
| 397d | twentyseventhhut | 116,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 0¢ | $6,701 | −$6,701 −100% | 3 |
| 397d | brockthebaby7 fills | 116,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $14,764 | −$14,764 −100% | 5 |
| 397d |  Bobrdobr | 116,000 | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $1,008 | +$1,008 +100% | — |
| 397d | kingofcoinflips12 fills | 116,000 | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $21,095 | −$21,095 −100% | 9 |
| 397d | xieyanwen08342 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,991 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 397d |  malachaifeisto7712 | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,827 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 398d | AZwater | 114,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 398d | AZwater | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 398d |  ryunose | 116,000 | SellYes28¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | +$1,400 +100% | — |
| 398d | ryunose | 116,000 | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 6 |
| 398d | xieyanwen0834 | 114,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$17 +1.5% | 2 |
| 398d | Bobrdobr | 116,000 | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 398d | easyclap2 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,918 | +$238 +8.2% | 2 |
| 398d | Bobrdobr | 116,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$459 +43% | 4 |
| 398d | affs20791 | 114,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,192 | +$308 +9.6% | 2 |
| 398d | Sasaqtu | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,128 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 398d | petya | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,055 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 399d | easypredict3 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $14,401 | +$4,119 +29% | 3 |
| 399d | petya | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,285 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 399d | brockthebaby | 118,000 | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,148 | −$1,148 −100% | 4 |
| 399d | azure72 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo23¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$7,700 +335% | 8 |
| 401d | brockthebaby | 118,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $2,455 | +$1,505 +61% | 3 |
| 403d |  GeckoStarlight | 116,000 | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 3 |
| 403d | brockthebaby2 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $2,519 | +$480 +19% | 2 |
| 403d | andrez | 116,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 3 |
| 403d | brockthebaby | 110,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | +$135 +9.9% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.