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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33d | 0x2348…ec52 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,061 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | Velova | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,492 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | averagerandomman12 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,329 | +$65 +0.5% | 2 |
| 33d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,374 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | PmDerek | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,869 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,371 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,783 | +$17 +0.6% | 2 |
| 33d | averagerandomman2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 33d | 0x2348…ec522 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$65 +1.6% | 2 |
| 33d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,279 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | YautjaPM2 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | Glennraven | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,491 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 33d | 0x2348…ec52 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,991 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,526 | +$414 +4.9% | 2 |
| 33d | Mizukaze | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,387 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | Mizukaze | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,343 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d |  Tttyh | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,539 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | Noteagle | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 33d | WanTonMee2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,233 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 33d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing3 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,449 | +$39 +0.9% | 2 |
| 33d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,799 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 33d | ndjkasn | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$17 +1.1% | 2 |
| 33d | Doomster | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,375 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 33d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,700 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 33d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$42 +1.1% | 2 |
| 33d |  walnascar | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 33d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $3,585 | −$3,585 −100% | 10 |
| 33d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,310 | −$57 −1.7% | — |
| 33d | On9Chasiu | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,227 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 33d | Velova | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$17 +1.5% | 2 |
| 33d |  MOCAVERSE | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,130 | −$12 −1.1% | — |
| 33d | Dou123 | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | +$24 +1.9% | 2 |
| 33d | yiliu | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,600 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | weathersfaustinomga | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,201 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | PmDerek2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,325 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 33d | Tttyh | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,189 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 33d | Tttyh | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,188 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 33d | IH2P | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$21 +2.0% | 2 |
| 33d | gobblewobble3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,029 | +$397 +9.9% | 3 |
| 33d | 0x2348…ec52 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,962 | +$22 +0.6% | 2 |
| 33d | 1881aa | 84,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,468 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 33d | 1881aa | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,254 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 33d |  TCBY6688 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 34d |  GoodLuck68886 | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,547 | +$19 +1.2% | 2 |
| 34d | On9Chasiu | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,685 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 34d | Tttyh | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,669 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | Rust701 | 82,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$367 +12% | 3 |
| 34d | mulpodsa852 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,562 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 34d | PathLens | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,765 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 34d | ReflectLens | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,064 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | MirrorOutcome | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,064 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | TwinPath | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,084 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | PmDerek | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,057 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 34d | IH2P | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$13 +1.2% | 2 |
| 34d | IH2P | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | +$31 +2.7% | 2 |
| 34d |  BnB-Chasiu | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,860 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 34d | mulpodsa85 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,360 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 34d | TangS4189 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$15 +1.3% | 2 |
| 34d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,396 | +$324 +5.1% | 2 |
| 34d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$18 +1.7% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.