Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −46 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 124,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 126,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 397d | rwo | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d | rwo | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,999 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d | prayer2008 | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d | kingofcoinflips6 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $16,604 | +$9,021 +54% | 3 |
| 397d | 114,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$29 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 397d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 116,000 | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $5,608 | −$5,608 −100% | 6 |
| 397d | 116,000 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $5,663 | +$2,257 +40% | 4 | |
| 397d | fuzhixiang0881 | 114,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,517 | +$72 +2.0% | 2 |
| 399d | easypredict | 118,000 | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 4 |
| 399d | 118,000 | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,574 | −$2,574 −100% | 6 | |
| 399d | easypredict2 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $8,028 | +$3,122 +39% | 3 |
| 399d | 116,000 | BuyYes78¢ → 0¢ | $3,089 | −$3,089 −100% | 3 | |
| 401d | 118,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $2,416 | +$1,544 +64% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.