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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | Candela | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,858 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | noloainakaila | 86,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$29 +1.9% | 2 |
| 31d | YautjaPM2 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | Mizukaze2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,008 | +$33 +0.5% | 2 |
| 31d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 86,000 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$366 +30% | 4 |
| 31d | Rust701 | 86,000 | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,124 | −$405 −36% | — |
| 31d | Navigator772 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,820 | +$32 +0.8% | 2 |
| 31d | 86,000 | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $3,057 | −$2,663 −87% | — | |
| 31d | PmDerek2 fills | 84,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,090 | −$24 −0.8% | — |
| 31d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 31d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,456 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | averagerandomman2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$25 +1.2% | 2 |
| 31d | Doomster | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,267 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | skery | 84,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | −$19 −1.7% | — |
| 31d | MU247 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 31d | ndjkasn | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,225 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 31d | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,556 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 31d | 84,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,551 | +$87 +2.4% | 2 | |
| 31d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,799 | +$42 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 31d | WanTonMee | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,248 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | ndjkasn | 84,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$40 −2.9% | — |
| 31d | lmcaimiku | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,235 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 31d | ndjkasn | 84,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$37 +2.7% | 2 |
| 31d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,797 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 31d | Tianhe | 84,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,489 | +$57 +3.8% | 2 |
| 31d | easyclap | 84,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,410 | +$597 +6.3% | 2 |
| 31d | detoxification | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | detoxification | 82,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $3,128 | +$16 +0.5% | 2 |
| 31d | Rust701 | 84,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,135 | −$160 −3.9% | — |
| 31d | ndjkasn | 82,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 31d | Rust701 | 84,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$295 +7.4% | 2 |
| 31d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,068 | −$41 −1.0% | — |
| 31d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,492 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d | 0x2348…ec524 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,785 | +$64 +0.8% | 2 |
| 31d | PmDerek | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$11 +0.7% | 2 |
| 31d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$159 +12% | 3 |
| 31d | PmDerek3 fills | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,630 | −$30 −0.4% | — |
| 31d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,946 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 31d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,947 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 31d | ptj68 | 86,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,317 | −$1,317 −100% | 4 |
| 31d | goodgoodstudy1 | 84,000 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | −$387 −13% | — |
| 31d | PmDerek2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,487 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 31d | thismonth | 86,000 | SellNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,038 | +$1,038 +100% | — |
| 31d | Gregarious-Distribution | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,880 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 31d | 1881aa2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,191 | +$40 +1.3% | 2 |
| 31d | weathersfaustinomga | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,206 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d | atkw | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d | jjjclv6 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,000 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | 86,000 | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,409 | −$1,409 −100% | 5 | |
| 32d | gobblewobble | 84,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$102 +8.0% | 2 |
| 32d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $21,648 | −$22 −0.1% | — | |
| 32d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,028 | +$34 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 32d | Rust701 | 86,000 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$529 +53% | 4 |
| 32d | Rust701 | 86,000 | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,257 | +$1,257 +100% | — |
| 32d | KFai | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,682 | +$12 +0.7% | 2 |
| 32d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,165 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 32d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,176 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 32d | PmDerek | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,993 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 32d | Rust701 | 82,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$109 +2.7% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 100%.