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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 100% | +8 pts | +94 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −13 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +86 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +41 pts | +98 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d |  gangwarharshit | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,285 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 29d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,047 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | SkyLove7 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,295 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d |  AkarshitGangwar | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,351 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | averagerandomman2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,222 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 29d | AkarshitGangwar | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,434 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 29d | gangwarharshit | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,580 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | MU247 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 29d | Candela2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,198 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $5,259 | +$2,211 +42% | 4 |
| 29d | Vort3xhz | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 29d | Rust7012 fills | 82,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,394 | −$366 −4.4% | — |
| 29d | AkarshitGangwar | 86,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | −$53 −4.1% | — |
| 29d |  spica258 | 86,000 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,661 | −$165 −10.0% | — |
| 29d | YautjaPM2 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,323 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | detoxification2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,203 | +$18 +0.6% | 2 |
| 29d | Mizukaze | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,820 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | Navigator77 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$17 +0.9% | 2 |
| 29d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 29d | PmDerek3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,509 | +$24 +0.5% | 2 |
| 29d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,346 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 29d | PmDerek | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,985 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 29d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 29d | PmDerek3 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,399 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 29d | YautjaPM2 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d |  Tttyh | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,829 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | averagerandomman6 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,665 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 29d | 0xec61…be87 | 84,000 | BuyYes31¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$2,279 +221% | 5 |
| 29d | spica258 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,815 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 29d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,374 | +$74 +1.7% | 2 |
| 29d | Rust7012 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$690 +9.9% | 3 |
| 29d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing4 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,858 | +$49 +0.8% | 2 |
| 29d | Tttyh5 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,361 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 29d | Tttyh6 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,822 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d | easyclap2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $7,082 | −$7,082 −100% | 4 |
| 29d | easypredict2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,285 | +$601 +18% | 3 |
| 29d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $1,184 | −$1,184 −100% | 4 |
| 29d | ptj68 | 84,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 4 |
| 29d | winwin10086 | 82,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | +$147 +9.2% | 3 |
| 29d | 1881aa2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,831 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 29d | PmDerek4 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,116 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 29d | PmDerek2 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,813 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 29d | detoxification | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,797 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 29d | gobblewobble | 82,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$74 +7.3% | 2 |
| 29d |  walnascar | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 29d | Gregarious-Distribution | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,893 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 29d |  CHINANO1 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,928 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 29d | gobblewobble | 86,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,335 | +$108 +8.1% | 3 |
| 29d | atkw | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 29d |  GoodLuck68886 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,846 | +$22 +1.2% | 2 |
| 29d | 25vottakurtg | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,205 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | DOWNbet | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,008 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 30d |  olegs | 78,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,686 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 30d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 82,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | +$121 +6.4% | 2 |
| 30d | averagerandomman | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$17 +1.6% | 2 |
| 30d | KFai | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,013 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 30d | TraceView | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,959 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 30d | TangS4189 | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,482 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 30d | 1881aa2 fills | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | −$20 −0.8% | — |
| 30d | 1881aa2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,638 | −$65 −1.4% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.