Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −69 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −19 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,661 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 28d | URAL173 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,244 | +$67 +0.3% | 2 |
| 28d | averagerandomman8 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,841 | +$82 +0.9% | 2 |
| 28d | Velova | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 28d | Rust7012 fills | 82,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,143 | −$355 −4.4% | — |
| 28d | easyclap | 84,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$130 +11% | 3 |
| 28d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,345 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 28d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 28d | detoxification | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,040 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 28d | 0xf705…3ca710 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $33,966 | +$100 +0.3% | 2 |
| 28d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,434 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 28d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,231 | +$268 +1.5% | 2 |
| 28d | Candela | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,393 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | lmcaimiku | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,296 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 28d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,793 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 28d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,804 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 28d | 1881aa | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,034 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 28d | PmDerek3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,632 | +$41 +0.7% | 2 |
| 28d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,108 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 28d | Mizukaze3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,926 | +$40 +0.3% | 2 |
| 28d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,066 | +$234 +22% | 4 |
| 28d | 0xDB5 | 82,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$73 −6.3% | — |
| 28d | 1881aa | 80,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 28d | uuuuuuuuuuuuul | 70,000 | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 6 |
| 28d | Mizukaze | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,889 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | WanTonMee | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,713 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | Candela | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,767 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | YautjaPM2 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,967 | +$27 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | Glennraven | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,610 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 86,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,642 | −$444 −7.9% | — |
| 28d | averagerandomman | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 28d | 84,000 | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$999 −100% | — | |
| 28d | H.xs | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | wyh. | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | Noteagle | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,044 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 28d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,029 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | Dou123 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,186 | +$24 +1.1% | 2 |
| 28d | 1881aa | 88,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | −$41 −2.1% | — |
| 28d | easyclap3 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $10,746 | −$10,746 −100% | 3 |
| 28d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,112 | +$29 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 28d | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,736 | +$74 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 28d | Navigator772 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,800 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 28d | PmDerek2 fills | 80,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,712 | −$26 −0.7% | — |
| 28d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 86,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,270 | +$110 +8.7% | 3 |
| 28d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,463 | −$1,463 −100% | 4 |
| 28d | easypredict2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,645 | +$459 +17% | 3 |
| 28d | 1881aa | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,802 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 28d | UPbet | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,394 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 28d | 86,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $11,570 | +$993 +8.6% | 2 | |
| 28d | averagerandomman | 86,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$40 +3.7% | 2 |
| 28d | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 28d | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 28d | frankzhao | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,195 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 28d | 25vottakurtg | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,206 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | coconutsteaksauce | 82,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$29 +2.7% | 2 |
| 28d | 1881aa | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 28d | atkw | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 29d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,638 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.