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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +48 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,236 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 27d | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,182 | +$68 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 27d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,619 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 27d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $5,486 | +$4,727 +86% | 4 |
| 27d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,660 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 27d | PmDerek2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,272 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 27d | PmDerek2 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,274 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 27d | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,801 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 27d | Mizukaze2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,341 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 27d | SkyLove72 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,981 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 27d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,138 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 27d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $2,690 | −$2,690 −100% | 5 |
| 27d | SkyLove7 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 27d | Mizukaze | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,381 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 27d | hfskjnvou | 84,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $2,590 | +$910 +35% | 4 |
| 27d | detoxification | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,930 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 27d | detoxification | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,055 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 27d | Wont-u-sing-w-me | 82,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,430 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 27d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,767 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 27d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,949 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 27d | Glennraven | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,942 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | Navigator77 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,836 | +$21 +0.5% | 2 |
| 28d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$20 +0.5% | 2 |
| 28d | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,081 | −$7 −0.1% | — | |
| 28d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,709 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 28d | 25vottakurtg | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,208 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 28d | PmDerek2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,139 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | Gregarious-Distribution | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,903 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,936 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 28d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,326 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 28d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,326 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 28d | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,052 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 28d | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,050 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 28d | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,795 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 28d | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,795 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 28d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $24,800 | −$25 −0.1% | — | |
| 28d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,744 | +$27 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 28d | 0xDB5 | 86,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$23 −2.2% | — |
| 28d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,934 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 28d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 28d | PmDerek2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,171 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,440 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 28d | gobblewobble2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,231 | +$82 +3.7% | 2 |
| 28d | baba1443 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$19 +1.5% | 2 |
| 28d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 88,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,783 | +$57 +3.2% | 2 |
| 28d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$98 +4.0% | 2 |
| 28d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,831 | +$561 +20% | 3 |
| 28d | ssddssd | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,039 | +$107 +5.3% | 2 |
| 29d | coconutsteaksauce | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$84 +5.3% | 2 |
| 29d | yiba2 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,813 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 29d | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$42 +3.3% | 2 | |
| 29d | easyclap | 84,000 | BuyYes43¢ → 100¢ | $3,053 | +$4,047 +133% | 5 |
| 29d | easyclap | 84,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $4,402 | −$4,402 −100% | 3 |
| 29d | gobblewobble | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$29 +2.6% | 2 |
| 31d | 90,000 | BuyYes16¢ → 0¢ | $1,217 | −$1,217 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 72,000 means the market gives it about 100%.