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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26d | Noteagle | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,634 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 26d | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 26d | Mizukaze | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,387 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,801 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 26d | coconutsteaksauce | 84,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$28 +2.0% | 2 |
| 26d | TangS41892 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,990 | +$62 +2.1% | 2 |
| 26d | Mizukaze | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,654 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | Mizukaze | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,457 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | detoxification | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,564 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 26d | detoxification | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,070 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 26d | TangS41894 fills | 84,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,324 | −$66 −1.5% | — |
| 26d | Dou123 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 26d | Candela4 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,872 | +$27 +0.3% | 2 |
| 26d | PmDerek6 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,630 | +$31 +0.3% | 2 |
| 26d | PmDerek2 fills | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,328 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 26d | Noteagle | 84,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,693 | +$29 +1.7% | 2 |
| 26d | PmDerek2 fills | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,527 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 26d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,890 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | Navigator77 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 26d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,554 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 26d | Tokor2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,037 | +$128 +4.2% | 2 |
| 26d | Tokor2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,344 | +$109 +4.7% | 2 |
| 26d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,560 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 26d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,560 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 26d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | YautjaPM2 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | Glennraven | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | PmDerek3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,920 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 26d | PmDerek2 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,116 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 26d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 26d | gobblewobble | 84,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$177 +16% | 3 |
| 26d | 25vottakurtg | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,211 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | TangS4189 | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$32 +2.9% | 2 |
| 26d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,940 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 26d | Gregarious-Distribution | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,906 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 27d | atkw | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 27d | baba14432 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,988 | +$140 +2.8% | 2 |
| 27d | 0xbabe…165c | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,307 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 27d | averagerandomman | 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,093 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 27d | KFai | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,759 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 27d | yiba2 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,822 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 27d | Rust701 | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$83 +2.1% | 2 |
| 27d | TangS4189 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,627 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 27d | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 27d | PmDerek | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 27d | PmDerek | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 27d | nearping | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 27d | 0xbabe…165c | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,308 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 28d | yiqiz | 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,735 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 28d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 86,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$195 +19% | 3 |
| 28d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | +$120 +5.5% | 2 |
| 29d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 88,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$63 +5.4% | 2 |
| 29d | madutu | 82,000 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$552 −46% | — |
| 29d | madutu | 82,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,474 | +$281 +19% | 2 |
| 32d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,519 | +$41 +2.7% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 100%.