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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −14 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −67 pts | −64 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | Kuihji | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,050 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Tianhe | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,395 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | YautjaPM2 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | SkyLove7 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,358 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | averagerandomman | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,111 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 25d | PmDerek | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,592 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 25d | PmDerek | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,592 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | noloainakaila | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,450 | +$19 +0.8% | 2 |
| 25d | baba1443 | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$24 +1.0% | 2 |
| 25d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,059 | −$132 −2.2% | — |
| 25d | YautjaPM2 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | Mizukaze | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,280 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | gobblewobble8 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,688 | +$343 +3.5% | 2 |
| 25d | 0xDB5 | 82,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | −$46 −4.5% | — |
| 25d | Mizukaze2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,445 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | −$35 −2.5% | — |
| 25d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,588 | +$26 +1.6% | 2 |
| 25d | 1881aa | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,257 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 25d | Navigator77 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,925 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 25d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 25d | TangS41892 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,572 | +$29 +0.6% | 2 |
| 25d | Glennraven | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | WanTonMee | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,891 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 25d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | SellYes100¢ | $1,741 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 25d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,389 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 25d | Tianhe2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,660 | +$23 +0.9% | 2 |
| 25d |  upont | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,480 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 25d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 25d | wyh. | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 25d | H.xs | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 25d | ssddssd | 82,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | +$333 +15% | 3 |
| 25d | easyclap3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $13,992 | +$1,613 +12% | 3 |
| 25d | detoxification | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,241 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d |  soylentgoy | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 25d | soylentgoy | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d |  walnascar | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | dajsijnnd | 84,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$256 +20% | 3 |
| 25d |  Facaie | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$33 +3.1% | 2 |
| 25d |  coinman2 | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,917 | +$121 +3.1% | 2 |
| 25d | gobblewobble6 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,004 | +$355 +3.6% | 2 |
| 25d | 0xDB5 | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | +$44 +3.1% | 2 |
| 25d | averagerandomman | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$33 +3.1% | 2 |
| 25d |  Tttyh2 fills | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,976 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | Tttyh | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,889 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,491 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 25d |  spica258 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 25d | spica258 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$16 +0.9% | 2 |
| 25d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 26d | atkw | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | 1881aa | 90,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,076 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 26d | 1881aa | 80,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,843 | −$15 −0.8% | — |
| 26d | 1881aa | 80,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,053 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 26d | Tttyh | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,837 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 26d | Tttyh | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,789 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 26d | Facaie | 90,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 26d | Rust701 | 82,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$191 +3.2% | 2 |
| 26d |  jakebet | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,262 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 26d | KFai | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,614 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 26d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,546 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.