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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112,000 | 100% | +87 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +10 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +45 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 389d | 114,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,603 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 389d | 106,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,521 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 389d | WCBT | 112,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,049 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 389d | rwo | 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 389d | 114,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $3,829 | +$2,093 +55% | 5 | |
| 389d | 114,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $4,128 | +$2,422 +59% | 5 | |
| 389d | ICXmix | 114,000 | SellYes54¢ → 0¢ | $2,240 | +$2,240 +100% | — |
| 389d | ICXmix | 114,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $2,626 | −$2,626 −100% | 5 |
| 389d | jiangyiyun11632 fills | 114,000 | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,255 | −$832 −20% | — |
| 389d | easyclap3 fills | 114,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $7,504 | +$986 +13% | 2 |
| 389d | 112,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $5,126 | −$5,126 −100% | 4 | |
| 389d | 112,000 | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | +$1,000 +100% | — | |
| 389d | Xxptyzz | 112,000 | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,361 | −$1,574 −67% | — |
| 389d | namgungminsu | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,196 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 389d | babo959 | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,918 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 389d | easypredict | 112,000 | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $1,880 | −$1,880 −100% | 4 |
| 389d | 112,000 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $6,376 | +$5,504 +86% | 4 | |
| 389d | chromestore | 108,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,209 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 389d | zengqianqian | 112,000 | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $2,049 | −$2,049 −100% | 4 |
| 390d | taishao | 112,000 | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 4 |
| 390d | xiaolicha | 112,000 | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $2,009 | −$2,009 −100% | 4 |
| 390d | xiaoyaofawai | 112,000 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,981 | −$1,981 −100% | 4 |
| 390d | EscalateFund | 112,000 | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | +$1,240 +100% | — |
| 390d | senyan | 104,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,113 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 390d | shibmusk | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,022 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 390d | IchNichtDu | 104,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 390d | jiangyiyun1163 | 114,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,082 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 390d | sadilamb | 108,000 | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 7 |
| 391d | EscalateFund | 112,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $1,840 | −$1,840 −100% | 2 |
| 392d | 106,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,368 | +$155 +11% | 2 | |
| 392d | easypredict | 108,000 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,429 | +$1,091 +45% | 3 |
| 392d | 108,000 | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,267 | −$1,267 −100% | 3 | |
| 393d | brr69420 | 112,000 | SellNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,548 | +$1,548 +100% | — |
| 395d | easypredict | 112,000 | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | +$1,584 +82% | 3 |
| 395d | kingofcoinflips | 110,000 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,358 | +$1,162 +49% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 112,000 means the market gives it about 100%.