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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −54 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −50 pts | −71 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | ssddssd | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,077 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,572 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 24d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,419 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 24d | 0xDB5 | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,480 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 24d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 24d | PmDerek | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,240 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,003 | +$260 +8.6% | 3 |
| 24d | gobblewobble2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,503 | +$160 +6.4% | 2 |
| 24d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 84,000 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | −$218 −18% | — |
| 24d | averagerandomman5 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,540 | +$28 +0.5% | 2 |
| 24d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,151 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 24d | 1881aa | 82,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,812 | −$10 −0.6% | — |
| 24d | Mizukaze2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,420 | +$39 +0.3% | 2 |
| 24d | Mizukaze | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,061 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 24d | Velova | 86,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,003 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 24d | Rust701 | 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,047 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 24d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $2,867 | −$2,867 −100% | 4 |
| 24d | YautjaPM22 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,991 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 24d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | −$17 −1.1% | — |
| 24d | TangS4189 | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$35 +2.6% | 2 |
| 24d | GoingGangrene | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,071 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 24d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,360 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 24d | Glennraven | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,593 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 24d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 84,000 | SellYes76¢ → 0¢ | $1,521 | +$1,521 +100% | — |
| 24d | PmDerek2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,101 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 24d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,102 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 |
| 24d | 1881aa | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 24d | PmDerek | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,996 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 24d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,807 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 24d | 0xDB5 | 86,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | −$41 −3.8% | — |
| 24d | Rust701 | 86,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$62 +3.1% | 2 |
| 24d | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,025 | +$77 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 24d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,496 | −$17 −0.1% | — | |
| 24d | gobblewobble6 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,129 | +$342 +3.7% | 2 |
| 25d | Navigator77 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,978 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$20 +0.5% | 2 |
| 25d | 86,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $18,185 | +$734 +4.0% | 2 | |
| 25d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 84,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,218 | −$1,218 −100% | 4 |
| 25d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,280 | +$26 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 25d | detoxification | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | UPbet | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$10 +0.8% | 2 |
| 25d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 25d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,056 | −$85 −4.1% | — |
| 25d | Kuihji | 82,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$43 +4.3% | 2 |
| 25d | carmouchevernony | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,187 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 25d | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 25d | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,003 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 25d | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 25d | atkw | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 25d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,005 | −$3 −0.3% | — | |
| 25d | frankzhao | 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,085 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 25d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,000 | −$5 −0.1% | — | |
| 25d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 25d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,945 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 25d | Gregarious-Distribution | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,912 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 25d | easyclap | 84,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,009 | +$566 +28% | 3 |
| 25d | yiba2 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,105 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.