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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +71 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +15 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d |  upont3 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,876 | +$51 +0.2% | 2 |
| 23d | averagerandomman2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,222 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 23d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,276 | +$382 +12% | 3 |
| 23d | gobblewobble | 84,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$143 +14% | 3 |
| 23d |  AkarshitGangwar | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,187 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | dajsijnnd | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,042 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | PmDerek | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,998 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 23d |  gangwarharshit | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,936 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | PmDerek | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,997 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,600 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | gangwarharshit | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,575 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 23d | Mizukaze | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,489 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 23d | 1881aa2 fills | 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,334 | −$34 −1.0% | — |
| 23d | gobblewobble | 84,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $1,038 | −$1,038 −100% | 3 |
| 23d | TangS4189 | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,107 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 23d |  psychicpsychic | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,931 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | 1881aa | 86,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,338 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 23d | baba1443 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 23d | Mizukaze2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,216 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | 1881aa2 fills | 82,000 | SellYes100¢ | $3,376 | −$17 −0.5% | — |
| 23d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,142 | +$605 +8.5% | 3 |
| 23d | PmDerek2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,847 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 23d | lmar | 84,000 | SellNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,705 | +$1,705 +100% | — |
| 23d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 84,000 | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,321 | −$619 −47% | — |
| 23d |  67676767676767676767676767 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,457 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 23d | 1881aa2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,897 | +$23 +0.8% | 2 |
| 23d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 23d | Rust7012 fills | 82,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,234 | −$258 −6.1% | — |
| 23d | Candela2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,544 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | YautjaPM2 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,977 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | Navigator77 | 88,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,015 | +$57 +1.9% | 2 |
| 23d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 23d | detoxification | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 23d | detoxification | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 23d | detoxification | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$24 +1.4% | 2 |
| 23d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 23d | PRIET | 86,000 | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,641 | +$1,641 +100% | — |
| 23d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing3 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,489 | +$69 +0.7% | 2 |
| 23d | 1881aa | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,386 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 23d |  Mahakaal468 | 84,000 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,895 | −$388 −20% | — |
| 23d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo27¢ → 0¢ | $3,144 | −$3,144 −100% | 9 |
| 23d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,307 | +$44 +1.3% | 2 |
| 23d | gobblewobble2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,398 | +$268 +11% | 3 |
| 23d |  olegs | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,396 | +$31 +0.3% | 2 |
| 23d | 0xDB5 | 86,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,561 | −$118 −7.5% | — |
| 23d | xiaojido202 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | Tianhe2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,821 | +$70 +1.8% | 2 |
| 23d | wh0511 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,034 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | Tianhe2 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,168 | +$50 +2.3% | 2 |
| 23d | Rust7012 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$492 +12% | 3 |
| 23d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,209 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 23d | dajsijnnd | 86,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$56 +4.2% | 2 |
| 23d | hersoan2025 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 23d | gobblewobble | 82,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,649 | +$51 +3.1% | 2 |
| 23d |  coinman25 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $17,649 | +$868 +4.9% | 2 |
| 23d | easypredict4 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,988 | +$504 +8.4% | 2 |
| 23d | PmDerek | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 23d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 23d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,969 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 86,000 means the market gives it about 0%.