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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −28 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49d | notover555 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,636 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | morkolen | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,070 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 49d | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,513 | +$112 +2.5% | 2 | |
| 49d | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,581 | +$28 +1.7% | 2 | |
| 49d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,622 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 49d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,339 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 49d | qqmupup | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | AnonymousPerson | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | baba1443 | 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,681 | +$71 +4.2% | 2 |
| 49d | TangS4189 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,177 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 49d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 49d | 9527966 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,994 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 49d | Noteagle | 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,688 | +$70 +4.2% | 2 |
| 49d | Peerusdenarus | 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$120 +4.2% | 2 |
| 49d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,248 | +$94 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 49d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,438 | +$242 +9.9% | 3 |
| 49d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $5,656 | +$1,295 +23% | 3 |
| 49d | Mizukaze | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,088 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 49d | Mizukaze | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,448 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | TangS41892 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,524 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 49d | baba1443 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,955 | +$45 +1.5% | 2 |
| 49d | TangS41892 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,536 | +$26 +0.7% | 2 |
| 49d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,655 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 49d | 0xf705…3ca78 fills | 78,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $12,423 | −$714 −5.7% | — |
| 49d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,958 | +$42 +1.4% | 2 | |
| 49d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$72 +1.8% | 2 |
| 49d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,771 | +$34 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 49d | 0xf705…3ca717 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $25,892 | +$1,641 +6.3% | 2 |
| 49d | averagerandomman15 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,569 | +$55 +0.3% | 2 |
| 49d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $45,395 | +$123 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 49d | HANK111 | 76,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$33 −3.3% | — |
| 49d | Candela | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,977 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | YautjaPM2 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,984 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | 80,000 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,562 | +$562 +36% | 4 | |
| 49d | Glennraven | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | 76,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,406 | −$158 −2.1% | — | |
| 49d | averagerandomman | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$27 +2.5% | 2 |
| 49d | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,369 | −$31 −0.3% | — | |
| 49d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $6,707 | +$2,853 +43% | 2 |
| 49d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,581 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 49d | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$25 +1.8% | 2 | |
| 49d | 1881aa | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,088 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 49d | IH2P2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,722 | +$160 +5.9% | 2 |
| 49d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 82,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$204 +10% | 3 |
| 49d | kingofcoinflips23 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $36,381 | −$36,381 −100% | 3 |
| 49d | 0xf705…3ca79 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $15,323 | +$702 +4.6% | 2 |
| 49d | 1881aa2 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,106 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 49d | notover555 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 49d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,726 | +$44 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 49d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,500 | +$30 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 49d | Tokor | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$15 +1.3% | 2 |
| 49d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,074 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 49d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 80,000 | SellYes78¢ → 0¢ | $7,603 | +$7,603 +100% | — |
| 49d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 82,000 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,114 | −$1,114 −100% | 5 |
| 49d | IH2P | 84,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,618 | +$62 +3.8% | 2 |
| 49d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $8,877 | +$1,568 +18% | 3 |
| 49d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus4 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,291 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,909 | +$19 +0.3% | 2 |
| 49d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $3,420 | −$3,420 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.