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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48d | anon.1980.123 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,004 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 48d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,810 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 48d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,996 | +$252 +6.3% | 2 |
| 48d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,181 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | gobblewobble3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,869 | +$231 +6.0% | 2 |
| 48d | IH2P2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,564 | +$183 +7.2% | 2 |
| 48d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,988 | −$12 −0.1% | — | |
| 48d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,351 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 48d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | Mizukaze2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,570 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 48d | Candela | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,367 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | YautjaPM22 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,666 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,080 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 48d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,134 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 48d | averagerandomman4 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,374 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 48d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,971 | +$83 +0.9% | 2 | |
| 48d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $19,963 | −$24 −0.1% | — | |
| 48d | Glennraven | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 48d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,992 | +$26 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 48d | YautjaPM2 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,890 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 48d | Glennraven | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,493 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 48d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,711 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 48d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,300 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 48d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,340 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 49d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 49d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,227 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 82,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,194 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 49d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,882 | +$17 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 49d | Velova | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,968 | +$32 +1.6% | 2 |
| 49d | Doomster2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,945 | +$24 +0.6% | 2 |
| 49d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,964 | +$36 +1.8% | 2 |
| 49d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,249 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 49d | 0xDB5 | 80,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$157 +15% | 3 |
| 49d | biggartlatrishagm | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,172 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 49d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,897 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 49d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,649 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 49d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,039 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 49d | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $25,826 | −$26 −0.1% | — | |
| 49d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $28,021 | +$28 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 49d | gumigu001 | 80,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$207 +18% | 3 |
| 49d | Boring-Jewelry | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$18 +1.6% | 2 |
| 49d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,092 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 49d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,025 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,145 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 49d | anon.1980.123 | 80,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,901 | +$1,107 +28% | 3 |
| 49d | gekko123456 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$24 +1.6% | 2 |
| 49d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,449 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 49d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,799 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 49d | HANK111 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,065 | −$62 −3.0% | — |
| 49d | baba1443 | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,811 | +$72 +4.0% | 2 |
| 49d | averagerandomman | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$24 +2.4% | 2 |
| 49d | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,609 | +$16 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 49d | rtuh56 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,354 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | jytdfhres | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,095 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | giuhjhkg | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,097 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 49d | elrah | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 49d | elrah | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$47 +2.3% | 2 |
| 49d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $4,122 | +$2,219 +54% | 3 |
| 49d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,653 | +$28 +0.8% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.