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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,304 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,415 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 46d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,909 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 46d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,360 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 46d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,300 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | anon.1980.123 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,794 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | Noteagle | 78,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,934 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 46d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,379 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 46d | 0x2348…ec52 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,976 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | Mizukaze | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,900 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,749 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 46d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,498 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 46d | Candela2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,372 | +$28 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | Glennraven | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,297 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | lmcaimiku2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,268 | +$21 +0.6% | 2 |
| 46d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,708 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 46d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,501 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 46d | gobblewobble2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,393 | +$247 +10% | 3 |
| 46d | PmDerek | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | PmDerek | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | RadiantRiddle | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,105 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 46d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,601 | −$9 −0.1% | — | |
| 46d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,523 | +$24 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 46d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,471 | +$44 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 46d | Clawbangers | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 46d | TangS4189 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,278 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 46d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 46d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 46d | anon.1980.123 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,598 | +$102 +0.8% | 2 |
| 46d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$56 +2.5% | 2 |
| 46d | atkw | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $7,382 | +$1,329 +18% | 3 |
| 46d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,179 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 46d | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,765 | +$41 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 46d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,185 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 46d | 78,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $15,341 | +$1,967 +13% | 2 | |
| 46d | 0x2348…ec52 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$39 +1.3% | 2 |
| 46d | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 46d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,380 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 46d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,874 | +$28 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 46d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,120 | −$77 −3.7% | — |
| 46d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 46d | gobblewobble2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,383 | +$124 +3.7% | 2 |
| 46d | 78,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$96 +5.6% | 2 | |
| 46d | Dou123 | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$32 +1.9% | 2 |
| 46d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,182 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,180 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 46d | gekko123456 | 82,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,511 | +$41 +2.7% | 2 |
| 46d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,737 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 46d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,303 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 46d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,871 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 46d | Gregarious-Distribution | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,839 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$48 +4.4% | 2 | |
| 46d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,329 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 46d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,898 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 46d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $1,824 | −$1,824 −100% | 5 |
| 46d | HANK111 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,012 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 46d | YoungAndFree | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,260 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 46d | gekko123456 | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$26 +1.7% | 2 |
| 46d | Adventure142 | 80,000 | SellNo42¢ → 100¢ | $2,554 | −$3,528 −138% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 0%.