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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45d | Glistening-Belligerency | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,754 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 45d |  ZeinST | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,380 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | Rin2x | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 45d |  olegs | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,631 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 45d | morkolen | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 45d | ZeinST | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,245 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | AnonymousPerson | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | PmDerek2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,595 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 45d | noloainakaila | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$29 +2.9% | 2 |
| 45d | Rust7012 fills | 78,000 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,199 | −$494 −12% | — |
| 45d |  Tttyh | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,039 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d |  Upto100k | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 45d | SkyLove7 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,294 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,007 | +$23 +0.8% | 2 |
| 45d |  spica258 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,579 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 45d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $7,158 | +$2,677 +37% | 4 |
| 45d |  VasiliSko | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 45d | PmDerek | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,693 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 45d | Mizukaze2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,947 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | VasiliSko | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,805 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 45d | 1881aa | 76,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,872 | −$34 −1.8% | — |
| 45d | spica258 | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,842 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 45d | TangS4189 | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$30 +2.6% | 2 |
| 45d | averagerandomman3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,242 | +$83 +2.6% | 2 |
| 45d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,557 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | YautjaPM22 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,180 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | Glennraven | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,493 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | VasiliSko | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,805 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | lmcaimiku | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,518 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 45d |  upont2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | +$36 +1.4% | 2 |
| 45d | Dou123 | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$36 +3.4% | 2 |
| 45d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,228 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | VasiliSko | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,483 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | 1881aa | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,482 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 45d | PmDerek | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,812 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | PmDerek | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,813 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 45d | anon.1980.123 | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,993 | +$197 +2.5% | 2 |
| 45d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | +$25 +0.7% | 2 |
| 45d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,454 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 45d | Tttyh3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $26,176 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,984 | +$16 +0.8% | 2 |
| 45d | jrfjftj | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,016 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,902 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d |  coinman23 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $5,091 | +$1,499 +29% | 4 |
| 45d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,327 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 45d |  walnascar | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | gekko123456 | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | +$28 +1.8% | 2 |
| 45d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $3,654 | +$1,323 +36% | 3 |
| 45d | IH2P | 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,555 | +$98 +3.8% | 2 |
| 45d | gobblewobble3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,194 | +$360 +11% | 3 |
| 45d | Tttyh2 fills | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,493 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 45d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 45d | 0x2348…ec52 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,942 | +$29 +1.0% | 2 |
| 45d | atkw | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 45d |  BnB-Chasiu2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 45d | grokel | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 45d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 45d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$196 +12% | 3 |
| 45d | On9Chasiu | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$24 +1.6% | 2 |
| 45d | BnB-Chasiu | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
vasileiosder1,240 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.